Serie A 2024-2025: Udinese vs Fiorentina Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
38%
VS

Fiorentina

Away Team
37%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 37 23 10 4 57 27 30 79
2 Inter 37 23 9 5 77 35 42 78
3 Atalanta 37 22 8 7 76 34 42 74
4 Juventus 37 17 16 4 55 33 22 67
5 Roma 37 19 9 9 54 35 19 66
6 Lazio 37 18 11 8 61 48 13 65
7 Fiorentina 37 18 8 11 57 39 18 62
8 Bologna 37 16 14 7 56 44 12 62
9 Milan 37 17 9 11 59 43 16 60
10 Como 37 13 10 14 49 50 -1 49
11 Torino 37 10 14 13 39 43 -4 44
12 Udinese 37 12 8 17 39 53 -14 44
13 Genoa 37 9 13 15 34 48 -14 40
14 Cagliari 37 9 9 19 40 54 -14 36
15 Verona 37 9 7 21 32 65 -33 34
16 Parma 37 6 15 16 41 56 -15 33
17 Lecce 37 7 10 20 26 58 -32 31
18 Empoli 37 6 13 18 32 57 -25 31
19 Venezia 37 5 14 18 30 53 -23 29
20 Monza 37 3 9 25 28 67 -39 18

Recent Trends

Udinese ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 2)

Fiorentina ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 1

Fiorentina

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.75
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Udinese and Fiorentina is poised to be a closely contested affair, with a slight edge given to Udinese, who have a 38% probability of winning. Fiorentina trails closely with a 37% chance, while a draw stands at 26%. With both teams occupying mid-table positions, Udinese sits at 12th and Fiorentina at 7th in Serie A. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially tight and defensively focused matchup.

Match Analysis

Udinese comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They secured a win against Cagliari but have suffered back-to-back losses against Juventus and Monza. The team has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches. Despite this, their defense has been marginally better with an average of 1.4 goals conceded. Udinese's recent matches have shown their ability to maintain a clean sheet in one of their last five games, which could be crucial against Fiorentina. On the other hand, Fiorentina's recent form has been inconsistent. After a high-scoring win against Bologna, they fell short against Venezia and Roma. Fiorentina has been slightly more effective in attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game, but their defense has been porous, conceding 1.6 goals on average. The team's expected goals metrics indicate they have a potential to score, averaging 1.312, but their defensive lapses, with an expected goals conceded of 1.75, might be their Achilles' heel.

Final Prediction

Udinese's slight statistical edge may come from their home advantage and marginally better defensive performances in recent games. However, Fiorentina's ability to score could make this a closely fought battle. A key factor to watch will be how Fiorentina's offense matches up against Udinese's defense, as this could ultimately decide the outcome of the game.