Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Brandon Holt vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Brandon Holt

Rank: #99
25%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #27
75%
Expected Total Games: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranking Trends

Brandon Holt

  • Current Rank: #99 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #115 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #198 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #206 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #252 (2024-07-01)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current Rank: #27 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #40 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #61 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #64 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #36 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Brandon Holt

Form Index: 46.1
ELO Rating: 390.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1529.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.6
Clay: 2.0
Grass: 3.0
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 86.1

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 55.3
ELO Rating: 1433.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1688.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.2
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Brandon Holt
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) grass Mallorca 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-1) grass Mallorca 109 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Elias Ymer (2-0) grass Mallorca 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-1) grass Mallorca 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs James Trotter (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) grass Eastbourne 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jakub Mensik (2-0) grass Eastbourne 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (2-1) grass Eastbourne 135 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-0) grass Eastbourne 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jiri Lehecka (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Brandon Holt
vs
1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Wimbledon between Brandon Holt and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is set to be an intriguing contest in the Round of 128. Competing on grass, a surface that can favor aggressive play, the predicted winner is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, with a probability of 75.32%, while Brandon Holt has a win probability of 24.68%. The expected total number of games played is 38.

Match Analysis

Brandon Holt is currently ranked 99th with a form index of 46.06 and an Elo rating of 390.66. His surface strength index stands at 3.02, indicating a limited effectiveness on grass. Notably, his mean serve index of 96.35 is slightly superior to Davidovich Fokina's mean serve index of 94.79, but the return index difference is significant: Holt's 86.14 trails Davidovich Fokina's 87.00 by over 5 points. This could be a crucial factor in the match as effective returning is essential on grass courts. In their recent performances, Holt has had a mixed bag, winning only one out of his last three matches, including a loss to Alex Michelsen where he failed to win a set. In contrast, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, ranked 27th with a form index of 55.27 and an Elo rating of 1433.39, has shown better form, winning two out of his last three matches, including a solid victory against Jakub Mensik. His recent performance against Taylor Fritz indicates he is competitive, even in tight matches.

Final Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds a significant edge in this matchup due to his higher ranking, better form, and slightly superior return game. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Holt can serve and maintain pressure against Davidovich Fokina's returning capabilities, as this could dictate the flow of the match.

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