Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Alexander Bublik vs Marin Cilic Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #24
67%
VS

Marin Cilic

Rank: #61
33%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Ranking Trends

Alexander Bublik

  • Current Rank: #24 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #62 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #51 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #34 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #27 (2024-08-26)

Marin Cilic

  • Current Rank: #61 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #104 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #186 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #181 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1082 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 68.4
ELO Rating: 1728.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1736.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.5

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 77.5
ELO Rating: 804.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1524.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Botic Van De Zandschulp (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 73 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-1) clay Gstaad 127 min

Marin Cilic
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Draper (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Bublik
vs
0
Marin Cilic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the US Open 2025, Alexander Bublik is set to face Marin Cilic on the hard courts of New York. With a predicted win probability of 67.32% for Bublik compared to Cilic's 32.68%, the match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 37 games played.

Match Analysis

Bublik currently ranks 24th in the world and boasts a solid form index of 68.43, alongside an Elo rating of 1728.39. His fatigue level is at zero, suggesting he is fresh and ready for the challenge. Bublik's surface strength index of 9.63 indicates he is well-suited to hard courts, and his mean serve index of 97.05 significantly outperforms Cilic’s mean serve index of 94.88, providing him with a notable advantage in service games. On the return side, both players are closely matched, with Bublik at 86.48 and Cilic at 86.97. In their recent performances, Bublik has been in excellent form, winning all three of his last matches convincingly on clay, with no sets dropped. Conversely, Cilic has had a mixed bag at Wimbledon, winning two out of three matches, including a tough battle against Flavio Cobolli where he lost in four sets. This inconsistency may affect his confidence going into this match.

Final Prediction

Bublik's edge in serve strength, combined with his recent dominant performances, positions him favorably against Cilic. A key factor to observe will be Bublik's ability to maintain pressure on Cilic's serve, which could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the match.