Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
84%
VS

Alejandro Tabilo

Rank: #126
16%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #3 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #2 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #4 (2024-08-26)

Alejandro Tabilo

  • Current Rank: #126 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #61 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #28 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #21 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 58.0
ELO Rating: 5982.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1885.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 53.8
Clay: 53.9
Grass: 59.8
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 87.8

Alejandro Tabilo

Form Index: 39.9
ELO Rating: 1171.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 16.8
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 84.4

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) hard Cincinnati 77 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Karen Khachanov (2-0) hard Cincinnati 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Cincinnati 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-0) hard Cincinnati 66 min

Alejandro Tabilo
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Dhakshineswar Suresh (1-2) hard Winston Salem 124 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Kyle Seelig (2-0) hard Winston Salem 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Roman Safiullin (0-2) hard Cincinnati 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexei Popyrin (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Alexander Zverev
vs
0
Alejandro Tabilo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2025 US Open, Alexander Zverev is set to face Alejandro Tabilo on hard courts in New York. With Zverev ranked 3rd and Tabilo ranked 126th, the match heavily favors Zverev, who has an 83.99% probability of winning compared to Tabilo's 16.01%. The predicted total number of games played is 36.0, suggesting a potentially straightforward encounter for the higher-ranked player.

Match Analysis

Zverev's current rank of 3 and a form index of 57.99 highlight his competitive edge, especially when compared to Tabilo's rank of 126 and form index of 39.90. Zverev boasts an Elo rating of 5982.05, significantly higher than Tabilo's 1171.07, indicating a vast difference in competitive experience and skill level. Both players have a fatigue level of 0.0, meaning they enter this match fresh. The surface strength index also reveals a stark contrast; Zverev's 53.81 greatly exceeds Tabilo's 10.84, suggesting a clear advantage for Zverev on hard courts. Notably, Zverev's mean serve index of 98.08 is well above Tabilo's 95.73, creating a difference that could lead to significant serving advantages during the match. Additionally, Zverev's mean return index of 87.77 surpasses Tabilo's 84.41, further emphasizing Zverev's superior return game. In their recent performances, Zverev has experienced mixed results, winning 2 out of his last 3 matches, although he faced a tough loss to Carlos Alcaraz in his latest outing. Tabilo, on the other hand, has also shown inconsistency, winning only 1 of his last 3 matches. His last match resulted in a defeat against Dhakshineswar Suresh, which may have impacted his confidence heading into this encounter.

Final Prediction

Zverev’s extensive experience and higher skill levels across various metrics provide him with a distinct advantage over Tabilo. With his superior serve and return game, Zverev is expected to dictate play. A key factor to watch will be Zverev's ability to capitalize on break points, which could significantly influence the match's outcome.