Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Alexandre Muller vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #40
47%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #45
53%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Player Metrics

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 32.0
ELO Rating: 1370.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1612.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.4
Clay: 11.2
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.8

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 80.5
ELO Rating: 1539.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1654.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 11.2
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Alexandre Muller

  • Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (1-2) clay Hamburg 178 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-1) clay Hamburg 160 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Elias Ymer (2-0) clay Hamburg 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (0-2) clay Rome 91 min

Alexander Bublik

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jack Draper (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Henrique Rocha (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexandre Muller
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Alexandre Muller and Alexander Bublik is set to take place in Halle, Germany, during the Round of 32 of an ATP 500 tournament on grass. The predicted winner is Alexander Bublik, with a probability of 52.68% compared to Muller's 47.32%. The anticipated total number of games played is approximately 24.

Match Analysis

Both players are closely ranked, with Muller at 40 and Bublik at 45. However, Bublik holds a significant advantage in Elo rating, boasting 1539.49 compared to Muller's 1370.31, reflecting a higher level of overall performance. Bublik also enjoys a superior form index of 80.52, indicating better recent form compared to Muller's 31.97. On the fatigue front, both players enter the match with zero cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, suggesting they are both fresh. When examining their surface strength indices, Bublik again has the upper hand with a score of 11.20, compared to Muller's 8.76. This indicates Bublik is more adept on grass compared to Muller. Furthermore, while their mean serve indices are quite close (Bublik at 95.47 and Muller at 96.65), Muller's return index of 88.77 is notably higher than Bublik's 86.44, but the difference is not significant enough to sway the match in Muller's favor. In their recent performances, Muller has faced challenges on clay, winning only one out of his last three matches, including a tough loss against Jakub Mensik at Roland Garros. Conversely, Bublik, despite a recent loss to Jannik Sinner, had previously secured a victory against Jack Draper and Henrique Rocha, showcasing his capability to win matches.

Final Prediction

Alexander Bublik's superior Elo rating and form index give him a distinct advantage heading into this match, despite Muller's higher return index. Key factors to watch will be Bublik's ability to leverage his serve and utilize his grass-court proficiency effectively against Muller.