Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Alexei Popyrin vs Emil Ruusuvuori Prediction

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #37
72%
VS

Emil Ruusuvuori

Rank: #1000
28%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Alexei Popyrin

Ranking Trends

Alexei Popyrin

  • Current Rank: #37 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #25 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #27 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #24 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #28 (2024-08-26)

Emil Ruusuvuori

  • Current Rank: #1000 (None)
  • 3 Months Ago: #279 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #227 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #95 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #85 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 42.8
ELO Rating: 1455.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1632.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 12.9
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 86.7

Emil Ruusuvuori

Form Index: 52.3
ELO Rating: 463.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1577.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.9
Clay: 4.0
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Alexei Popyrin
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) hard Cincinnati 209 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Martin Landaluce (2-0) hard Cincinnati 137 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) hard Toronto 162 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (2-1) hard Toronto 123 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Toronto 150 min

Emil Ruusuvuori
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (0-2) hard Washington 110 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Borna Coric (2-1) hard Washington 179 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (1-3) grass Wimbledon 132 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (3-1) grass Wimbledon 166 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (3-2) grass Wimbledon 224 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexei Popyrin
vs
0
Emil Ruusuvuori
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Alexei Popyrin and Emil Ruusuvuori in the Round of 128 at the US Open promises to be an intriguing contest on hard court. Popyrin enters the match as the favorite with a probability of winning set at 71.66%, while Ruusuvuori's chances stand at 28.34%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 38.0.

Match Analysis

Alexei Popyrin, currently ranked 37th, exhibits a solid form index of 42.85 and an Elo rating of 1455.67, indicating his competitive edge on tour. His surface strength index of 14.59 suggests he performs well on hard courts, and with a mean serve index of 97.85, he has a significant advantage in his service game. In contrast, Emil Ruusuvuori, ranked 1000, has a lower form index of 52.29 and an Elo rating of 463. His surface strength index is a mere 6.89, indicating challenges adapting to hard courts. While both players have comparable mean return indices (Popyrin at 86.70 and Ruusuvuori at 86.24), Popyrin's superior serving capabilities could be a decisive factor. Analyzing their recent performances, Popyrin's last three matches include a challenging loss to Andrey Rublev but a solid victory against Martin Landaluce, showcasing his resilience. On the other hand, Ruusuvuori's last match ended in defeat against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, following a notable win over Borna Coric, indicating inconsistency in his recent form.

Final Prediction

Popyrin's higher ranking, superior serve, and generally better recent performances provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Popyrin's ability to capitalize on his serve against Ruusuvuori, who has struggled with consistency, particularly in recent outings.