Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Arthur Cazaux

Rank: #80
53%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #34
47%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Cazaux

Ranking Trends

Arthur Cazaux

  • Current Rank: #80 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #115 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #119 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #63 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #92 (2024-09-30)

Cameron Norrie

  • Current Rank: #34 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #61 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #86 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #49 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #52 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Arthur Cazaux

Form Index: 59.2
ELO Rating: 925.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 181.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.0
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.6

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 33.3
ELO Rating: 1345.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1706.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.3
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.3
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Arthur Cazaux
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Pedro Martinez (2-1) hard Shanghai 181 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jakub Mensik (1-2) hard Beijing 130 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Juncheng Shang (2-0) hard Beijing 161 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (1-1) hard Beijing 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-1) hard Beijing 143 min

Cameron Norrie
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Beijing 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Yi Zhou (1-2) hard Chengdu 164 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Cazaux
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters 1000, Arthur Cazaux and Cameron Norrie are set to clash on hard courts in China. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with Cazaux slightly favored to win at a probability of 52.79%, compared to Norrie's 47.21%. The predicted total number of games played is 24.0, indicating a closely contested match.

Match Analysis

Arthur Cazaux, currently ranked 80, has a form index of 59.21 and an Elo rating of 925.39, showcasing his rising potential. His cumulative fatigue of 181 minutes from this tournament might be a concern, but his surface strength index of 8.04 and a mean serve index of 97.02 highlight his capabilities on hard courts. Cazaux's mean return index of 86.58 is competitive, although Norrie has a higher return index of 87.91, demonstrating a slight edge in returning serves. Cameron Norrie, ranked 34, has struggled recently with a form index of 33.25 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1345.29. Norrie enters this matchup without any cumulative fatigue, which could play a crucial role in his performance. However, his recent matches reflect a challenging phase, having lost all of his last three encounters, including a tough match against Daniil Medvedev. Cazaux, on the other hand, has had mixed results but showed resilience in his last match against Pedro Martinez, where he secured a victory after a lengthy encounter.

Final Prediction

Arthur Cazaux appears to hold a slight edge due to his recent performance and competitive serving ability, despite being lower in the rankings. A key factor to observe will be how well Cazaux manages his fatigue, as this will significantly impact his ability to sustain pressure against Norrie's consistent play.