Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Billy Harris vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Billy Harris

Rank: #151
24%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #27
76%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranking Trends

Billy Harris

  • Current Rank: #151 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #102 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #110 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #125 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #104 (2024-08-26)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #27 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #27 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #21 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #29 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #19 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Billy Harris

Form Index: 66.6
ELO Rating: 554.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1538.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 3.5
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 86.5

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 52.3
ELO Rating: 1332.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1671.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.0
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Billy Harris
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Coleman Wong (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mikhail Kukushkin (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs James Trotter (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (0-2) hard Washington 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Moerani Bouzige (2-0) hard Washington 120 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-1) hard Cincinnati 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) hard Cincinnati 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-0) hard Cincinnati 121 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) hard Cincinnati 117 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) hard Toronto 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Billy Harris
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2025 US Open, Felix Auger-Aliassime is set to face Billy Harris on hard courts in New York. Given the players' current form and rankings, Auger-Aliassime is the favored competitor, with a predicted win probability of 76.06% compared to Harris's 23.94%. The match is expected to see a total of around 36 games played.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime holds a significantly higher ATP ranking at 27 compared to Billy Harris, who is ranked 151. This ranking disparity is reflected in their Elo ratings as well, with Auger-Aliassime at 1332.87, whereas Harris is at 554.23. In terms of form, Auger-Aliassime has a form index of 52.29, which is lower than Harris's 66.64, indicating that Harris has recently been performing better. However, fatigue levels also play a crucial role; Harris has accumulated 522 minutes on court during this tournament, while Auger-Aliassime enters the match with zero fatigue, having played fewer matches recently. When examining their serve and return statistics, the mean serve index for Harris stands at 96.76 compared to Auger-Aliassime's 96.04, indicating a slight advantage for Harris. However, on the return side, Harris's mean return index of 86.54 surpasses Auger-Aliassime's 85.78, showcasing an edge for Harris in returning serves, albeit marginally. Over their last three matches, Harris has had mixed results, winning two and losing one. In contrast, Auger-Aliassime won two of his last three matches but recently faced a defeat against Jannik Sinner.

Final Prediction

Despite the closer performance indices, Auger-Aliassime's higher ranking, Elo rating, and absence of fatigue position him as the favored player in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how Harris manages to leverage his serving and returning capabilities against Auger-Aliassime’s solid play, especially given the fatigue factor that could impact Harris's performance in longer rallies.