London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Cameron Norrie vs Jakub Mensik Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #61
35%
VS

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #17
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Ranking Trends

Cameron Norrie

  • Current Rank: #61 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #81 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #49 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #52 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #39 (2024-06-17)

Jakub Mensik

  • Current Rank: #17 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #54 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #48 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #66 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #81 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 78.0
ELO Rating: 1358.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1709.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 88.8

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 52.9
ELO Rating: 1561.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1629.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Federico Agustin Gomez (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-2) clay Geneva 134 min

Jakub Mensik
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Henrique Rocha (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Hubert Hurkacz (1-2) clay Rome 179 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) clay Rome 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Gigante (2-0) clay Rome 102 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Jakub Mensik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Cameron Norrie and Jakub Mensik in the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in London promises to be a compelling clash on grass. Norrie, currently ranked 61, faces the higher-ranked Mensik, who sits at 17. The predicted winner is Jakub Mensik, with a probability of winning at 65.28%, while Norrie's chances stand at 34.72%. The match is expected to see a total of approximately 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie comes into this match with a form index of 77.98 and an Elo rating of 1358.82. Despite not showing signs of fatigue with a cumulative time of 0 minutes on court, his surface strength index of 9.63 suggests he may struggle on grass compared to Mensik. Conversely, Jakub Mensik boasts a higher Elo rating of 1561.51 and a competitive surface strength index of 7.91. While both players have similar mean serve indices, Mensik’s slightly lower mean return index of 87.64 compared to Norrie's 88.78 indicates a potential advantage for Norrie in returning serves. In their recent performances, Norrie has faced tough competition at Roland Garros, losing his most recent match against Novak Djokovic without winning a set. His previous matches saw him secure victories against Jacob Fearnley and Federico Agustin Gomez. Mensik, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results, most recently losing to Henrique Rocha after a close contest. Prior to that, he secured a solid win against Alexandre Muller, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure.

Final Prediction

Mensik's higher rank, superior Elo rating, and recent match experiences position him as the favorite in this encounter. A crucial factor to monitor will be Norrie's ability to leverage his slightly better return game, which could be pivotal in breaking Mensik's serve and gaining momentum on the grass surface.