Metz France Hard Atp 250 Finals

Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tien Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #31
47%
VS

Learner Tien

Rank: #39
53%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 61.0
ELO Rating: 1421.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1724.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 557.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.2
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 87.6

Learner Tien

Form Index: 62.2
ELO Rating: 1330.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1696.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 321.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.9
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Metz 120 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Kyrian Jacquet (2-1) hard Metz 145 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-1) hard Metz 166 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-1) hard Metz 126 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (0-2) hard Paris 96 min

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Vitaliy Sachko (2-0) hard Metz 56 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-1) hard Metz 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Moez Echargui (2-0) hard Metz 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Blanchet (2-0) hard Metz 65 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Paris 80 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Cameron Norrie
vs
2
Learner Tien
Hard
1 - 2
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the finals of the ATP 250 tournament in Metz, France, Cameron Norrie is set to face Learner Tien on hard courts. The match is expected to be competitive, with Tien slightly favored to win, holding a probability of 52.59% compared to Norrie's 47.41%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 31, boasts a form index of 61.01 and an Elo rating of 1421.87. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 557 minutes, indicating a substantial workload. Norrie's surface strength index is 11.18, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.91 and a mean return index of 87.65. In contrast, Learner Tien, ranked 39, has a slightly higher form index of 62.19 and a lower Elo rating of 1330.73. Tien's fatigue is significantly lower at 321 minutes. His surface strength index is 10.85, with a mean serve index of 94.74 and a mean return index of 87.37. The difference in their mean serve index (over 5 points) gives Norrie an advantage in service games, while both players have similar return strengths. In their recent performances, Norrie has won all three of his last matches, displaying resilience with victories over opponents like Lorenzo Sonego and Kyrian Jacquet. Each match has been competitive, lasting between 120 to 166 minutes. Learner Tien also comes in with strong momentum, having won his last three matches, including a decisive victory against Vitaliy Sachko, where he did not lose a set. Tien's matches have showcased his ability to close out games efficiently, with the longest match lasting only 104 minutes.

Final Prediction

Learner Tien's slight edge in form and lower fatigue levels could be critical in this final match-up. Norrie's ability to serve effectively will be pivotal, particularly given the significant difference in their serve indices. Monitoring how Tien handles Norrie's serve will be a key aspect to watch during the match.