Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Tristan Schoolkate vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction

Tristan Schoolkate

Rank: #100
42%
VS

Daniel Altmaier

Rank: #50
58%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Daniel Altmaier

Ranking Trends

Tristan Schoolkate

  • Current Rank: #100 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #104 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #120 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #168 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #169 (2024-09-30)

Daniel Altmaier

  • Current Rank: #50 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #57 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #83 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #89 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #84 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Tristan Schoolkate

Form Index: 38.7
ELO Rating: 512.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1532.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 270.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 3.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 86.9

Daniel Altmaier

Form Index: 40.0
ELO Rating: 980.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1586.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Tristan Schoolkate
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Beibit Zhukayev (2-0) hard Shanghai 125 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs James McCabe (2-1) hard Shanghai 145 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jesper de Jong (1-2) hard Beijing 170 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bernard Tomic (0-2) hard Chengdu 94 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Daniel Altmaier
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Vukic (0-2) hard Tokio 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Tokio 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (0-2) hard Cincinnati 119 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Tristan Schoolkate
vs
0
Daniel Altmaier
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Tristan Schoolkate and Daniel Altmaier at the Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament is set to be a compelling clash on hard courts. With a predicted total of 24 games played, Altmaier is favored to win with a probability of 57.96%, while Schoolkate stands at 42.04%.

Match Analysis

Tristan Schoolkate enters this match ranked 100th, with a form index of 38.72 and an Elo rating of 512.34. His fatigue level is notable at 270 minutes, indicating a considerable court time in the current tournament. Schoolkate has a surface strength index of 4.67, which is lower than his mean serve index of 97.26 and mean return index of 86.91. In contrast, Daniel Altmaier, ranked 50th, boasts a higher form index of 40.02 and an Elo rating of 980.61. Moreover, he has no recorded fatigue, which could play a crucial role in his performance. Altmaier also holds a superior surface strength index of 8.23, alongside a mean serve index of 95.61 and mean return index of 87.53. In their recent matches, Schoolkate has shown resilience, winning two of his last three encounters, including a decisive victory over Beibit Zhukayev. However, he faced a setback against Jesper de Jong, which could impact his confidence. Altmaier's recent form is less encouraging, with a win against Denis Shapovalov but a loss to Aleksandar Vukic in his last outing. Despite the loss, his overall consistency and ranking suggest he remains a formidable opponent.

Final Prediction

Daniel Altmaier's combination of a higher ranking, lower fatigue, and better surface strength index gives him a significant advantage heading into this match. A critical factor to observe will be the effectiveness of Altmaier's serve, which could dictate the flow of the game and potentially exploit Schoolkate's vulnerabilities.

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