Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

David Goffin vs Marin Cilic Prediction

David Goffin

Rank: #104
44%
VS

Marin Cilic

Rank: #89
56%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Marin Cilic

Ranking Trends

David Goffin

  • Current Rank: #104 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #60 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #49 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #54 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #54 (2024-10-21)

Marin Cilic

  • Current Rank: #89 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #64 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #109 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #181 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #202 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

David Goffin

Form Index: 39.4
ELO Rating: 962.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1543.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 184.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 89.2

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 55.7
ELO Rating: 839.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1540.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.0
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

David Goffin
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marin Cilic (0-2) hard Basel 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) hard Basel 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) hard Brussels 95 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (0-1) hard Shanghai 10 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) hard Shanghai 91 min

Marin Cilic
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (2-0) hard Basel 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Basel 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Stockholm 109 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-0) hard Stockholm 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-2) hard Shanghai 114 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
David Goffin
vs
1
Marin Cilic
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between David Goffin and Marin Cilic takes place at the ATP 500 tournament in Basel, Switzerland, on a hard court surface during the Round of 32. The predicted winner is Marin Cilic, with a probability of 55.62% to David Goffin's 44.38%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Both players bring a blend of experience and skill to the court, with Goffin ranked 104 and Cilic at 89. Goffin has a form index of 39.37 and an Elo rating of 962.86, while Cilic has a stronger form index of 55.66 and an Elo rating of 838.99. Fatigue levels are relatively close, with Goffin at 184 minutes and Cilic at 174 minutes. Goffin's surface strength index stands at 9.57, compared to Cilic's 8.04, indicating Goffin's slight advantage on hard courts. Notably, Goffin's mean serve index is 96.73, surpassing Cilic's 95.29 by over 5 points, while Goffin's mean return index of 89.18 is also stronger than Cilic's 86.22 by more than 5 points. Recent performances provide context for the match. Goffin has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches, including a recent defeat to Cilic, where he failed to win a set. In contrast, Cilic's recent form indicates better momentum, having won his last match against Goffin and another match earlier in the tournament against Adam Walton. Cilic's consistency and ability to perform under pressure may give him the edge in this encounter.

Final Prediction

Marin Cilic's recent victory over Goffin and superior form index suggest he has the upper hand heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be Goffin's ability to leverage his serve, as it could play a crucial role in determining the match outcome.