Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Elmer Moller vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Elmer Moller

Rank: #110
15%
VS

Tommy Paul

Rank: #14
85%
Predicted Games Played: 34.0
Predicted Winner: Tommy Paul

Player Metrics

Elmer Moller

Form Index: 22.2
ELO Rating: 387.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1506.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.9
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 93.2
Return Rating: 89.1

Tommy Paul

Form Index: 49.2
ELO Rating: 2383.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1781.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.3
Clay: 24.2
Grass: 24.2
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Elmer Moller

  • Last Match: vs Dino Prizmic (0-2) clay Umag 110 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (1-2) clay Bastad 161 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Gigante (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Tommy Paul

  • Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (1-2) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-0) hard Cincinnati 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Johannus Monday (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (1-2) grass Eastbourne 134 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Elmer Moller
vs
1
Tommy Paul
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Elmer Moller and Tommy Paul in the Round of 128 at the US Open is set to take place on hard court in New York. Tommy Paul is favored to win with a probability of 84.78%, while Elmer Moller has a 15.22% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 34.

Match Analysis

Tommy Paul, currently ranked 14th, boasts a much higher Elo rating of 2383 compared to Elmer Moller's 387.4, which indicates a significant disparity in experience and performance levels. Paul's form index of 49.15 suggests he is in relatively good form, while Moller's form index of 22.23 indicates he has struggled recently. Both players have zero cumulative fatigue, which means they are fresh heading into the match. Notably, Paul's surface strength index of 17.35 is considerably higher than Moller's 2.91, showcasing his proficiency on hard courts. Furthermore, the mean serve index difference of approximately 2 points is minor, but it still provides Paul with a slight edge in this area. In terms of recent performances, both players have faced challenges in their last three matches. Moller has lost all three, including a recent defeat at the Umag tournament where he failed to win a set against Dino Prizmic. Conversely, while Paul has also faced setbacks, notably losing to Adrian Mannarino in Cincinnati, he did secure a victory against Pedro Martinez in a straight-sets win just prior to that. Overall, Paul's recent performances indicate a more competitive edge compared to Moller.

Final Prediction

Tommy Paul's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and better recent performance provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. A key factor to watch will be how effectively he can leverage his serving abilities against Moller, who has struggled in recent outings.