Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Emilio Nava vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Emilio Nava

Rank: #116
41%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #23
59%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Player Metrics

Emilio Nava

Form Index: 49.5
ELO Rating: 445.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 205.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.8
Clay: 2.6
Grass: 2.1
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 86.2

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 31.8
ELO Rating: 1660.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1662.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.7
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Emilio Nava

  • Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) hard Toronto 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) hard Toronto 119 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Washington 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) hard Los Cabos 138 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-1) hard Los Cabos 182 min

Ugo Humbert

  • Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) grass Eastbourne 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (2-0) grass Eastbourne 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) grass Eastbourne 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (1-2) grass Halle 148 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Emilio Nava
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Emilio Nava faces Ugo Humbert on hard courts. The match presents an interesting clash of talent, with Humbert predicted to win with a probability of 59.15%, compared to Nava's 40.85%. The predicted total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Emilio Nava, currently ranked 116, boasts a form index of 49.49 and an Elo rating of 445.65. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 205 minutes, which may impact his performance. With a surface strength index of 4.79, it’s clear that he is still establishing his prowess on hard courts. His mean serve index of 97.27 suggests a solid serving capability, while his mean return index of 86.16 indicates a decent ability to counter opponents' serves. Notably, there is a significant gap of over 5 points in the mean serve index when compared to Humbert. Ugo Humbert, ranked 23, has a much higher Elo rating of 1660.24 and a lower form index of 31.81, indicating some inconsistency in his recent performances. However, he has shown resilience with no cumulative fatigue recorded in the tournament. His surface strength index of 17.55 reflects a stronger adaptation to hard courts than Nava. Humbert's mean serve index at 95.53 is slightly lower than Nava's, yet his mean return index of 84.58 is indicative of a reliable return game. In their recent matches, while Nava has won his last two, Humbert struggled at Wimbledon and Eastbourne, losing two consecutive matches.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert has the advantage of experience and a higher overall ranking, giving him a psychological edge in this matchup. His ability to reset from recent disappointments could be crucial, especially considering the fatigue factor that Nava is carrying. Key to watch will be the effectiveness of Humbert's return game, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.