Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Quarterfinals

Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Valentin Vacherot

Rank: #40
35%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #10
65%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranking Trends

Valentin Vacherot

  • Current Rank: #40 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #253 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #223 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #201 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #127 (2024-10-28)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #10 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #28 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #27 (2024-10-28)

Player Metrics

Valentin Vacherot

Form Index: 49.6
ELO Rating: 1051.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1623.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 3.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.1

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 61.5
ELO Rating: 1610.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1712.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 322.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.8
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 85.4

Recent Matches

Valentin Vacherot
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-1) hard Paris 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) hard Basel 156 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-1) hard Shanghai 134 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Novak Djokovic (2-0) hard Shanghai 102 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (2-1) hard Shanghai 179 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-1) hard Paris 184 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (2-1) hard Paris 138 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-1) hard Basel 45 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Marin Cilic (2-0) hard Basel 107 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Basel 110 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Vacherot
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming quarterfinal match in Paris, part of the prestigious Masters 1000 series, features Valentin Vacherot facing off against Felix Auger-Aliassime on hard court. The predicted winner is Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a probability of victory at 65.09%, while Vacherot stands at 34.91%. The anticipated total number of games in this encounter is projected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 40th, Valentin Vacherot has a form index of 49.61 and an Elo rating of 1051.09. His fatigue level is at 174 minutes, indicating a manageable state as he progresses deeper into the tournament. Vacherot possesses a surface strength index of 8.61 and a mean serve index of 97.03, accompanied by a mean return index of 86.09. This places him in a competitive position, but his overall metrics suggest he may struggle against higher-ranked opponents. On the other hand, Felix Auger-Aliassime is ranked 10th and boasts a form index of 61.47, coupled with a significantly higher Elo rating of 1610.27. He has accumulated 322 minutes of fatigue during the tournament, which is notably higher than Vacherot's. Auger-Aliassime's surface strength index is 13.81, and while his mean serve index of 96.04 is slightly lower than Vacherot's, his mean return index of 85.43 is close enough not to create a significant gap. In their recent performances, Vacherot has secured two wins and one loss, while Auger-Aliassime has won two matches but suffered a surprising defeat in Basel.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime holds the advantage due to his superior ranking, form index, and recent competitive performances despite his fatigue level. A key factor to observe will be the effectiveness of Auger-Aliassime's return game, which could prove crucial in navigating Vacherot’s serves and establishing control early in the match.

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