London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Frances Tiafoe vs Daniel Evans Prediction

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #13
72%
VS

Daniel Evans

Rank: #199
28%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Ranking Trends

Frances Tiafoe

  • Current Rank: #13 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #17 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #18 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #16 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #28 (2024-06-17)

Daniel Evans

  • Current Rank: #199 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #183 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #164 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #177 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #59 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 81.2
ELO Rating: 1603.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1704.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 20.8
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 86.8

Daniel Evans

Form Index: 51.3
ELO Rating: 378.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1607.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 3.0
Grass: 4.0
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Frances Tiafoe
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Korda (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Pablo Carreno Busta (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Roman Safiullin (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Daniel Evans
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 135 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mees Rottgering (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 160 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 119 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Clement Tabur (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Frances Tiafoe
vs
0
Daniel Evans
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the London tournament on grass, Frances Tiafoe is set to face Daniel Evans. Tiafoe is favored to win with a probability of 71.98%, while Evans' chances stand at 28.02%. The match is predicted to feature a total of around 23 games.

Match Analysis

Frances Tiafoe, currently ranked 13th, boasts a strong form index of 81.24 and an Elo rating of 1603.91, indicating his high competitive level. His surface strength index of 20.79 highlights his adaptability on grass courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.31 and a mean return index of 86.84. In contrast, Daniel Evans, ranked 199th, has a form index of 51.35 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 378.73. His surface strength index is only 4.01, and while his mean serve index of 95.38 is respectable, it falls short compared to Tiafoe's. Notably, Tiafoe's mean serve index is over 5 points higher than Evans', which could be a decisive factor in the match. In their recent performances, Tiafoe has shown resilience, having won 2 out of his last 3 matches at Roland Garros, although he faced a tough loss in his latest match. Evans, on the other hand, recorded a win against Rinky Hijikata but fell to Ugo Humbert in his last outing, suggesting inconsistency. This disparity in recent form and Tiafoe's superior statistics bolster his chances heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe's edge comes from his superior ranking, form, and statistical performance, particularly in serving, which is crucial on grass. A key factor to observe will be Tiafoe's ability to leverage his powerful serve against Evans' weaker return capabilities, potentially dictating the pace and outcome of the match.