Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Gael Monfils vs Roman Safiullin Prediction

Gael Monfils

Rank: #50
52%
VS

Roman Safiullin

Rank: #90
48%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Gael Monfils

Ranking Trends

Gael Monfils

  • Current Rank: #50 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #42 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #40 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #55 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #45 (2024-08-26)

Roman Safiullin

  • Current Rank: #90 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #72 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #72 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #60 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #57 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Gael Monfils

Form Index: 24.5
ELO Rating: 1156.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1605.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 9.2
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.1

Roman Safiullin

Form Index: 28.5
ELO Rating: 825.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1572.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.8
Clay: 6.7
Grass: 8.1
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Gael Monfils
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Barrios Vera (1-2) hard Toronto 166 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Yibing Wu (0-2) hard Washington 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Marton Fucsovics (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Humbert (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) grass Stuttgart 105 min

Roman Safiullin
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Christopher O'Connell (0-2) hard Winston Salem 81 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Cincinnati 118 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Tabilo (2-0) hard Cincinnati 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Toronto 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Blanchet (2-1) hard Toronto 141 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Gael Monfils
vs
0
Roman Safiullin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the US Open taking place in New York on hard courts, Gael Monfils is predicted to edge out Roman Safiullin. The probability of Monfils winning stands at 52.05%, while Safiullin follows closely at 47.95%. The anticipated total number of games played in this matchup is approximately 37.

Match Analysis

Gael Monfils, ranked 50th with a form index of 24.47 and an Elo rating of 1156.22, showcases a solid performance on hard surfaces with a surface strength index of 12.96. His mean serve index is impressive at 97.06, indicating a strong serving capability. In contrast, Roman Safiullin, ranked 90th, has a form index of 28.50 and a lower Elo rating of 825.89. His surface strength index of 8.78 and a mean serve index of 96.19 suggest he is slightly behind Monfils in serving prowess. The difference in their mean serve indices is marginal, but Monfils boasts a higher mean return index of 86.14 compared to Safiullin's 88.27, which is worth noting as a potential advantage during the match. Over their last three matches, Monfils has struggled, losing all three, including a recent match against Tomas Barrios Vera where he won only one set. Safiullin's recent performances have been mixed; he lost to Christopher O'Connell and Holger Rune but secured a win against Alejandro Tabilo in Cincinnati. This inconsistency may play a role in the match dynamics.

Final Prediction

Gael Monfils is predicted to have the edge due to his higher Elo rating and serve index, despite recent form challenges. A key factor to watch will be Monfils' ability to capitalize on Safiullin's return game, which could determine the outcome of tightly contested games.