Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #33
49%
VS

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #46
51%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Joao Fonseca

Ranking Trends

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current Rank: #33 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #45 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #37 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #30 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #50 (2024-10-21)

Joao Fonseca

  • Current Rank: #46 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #47 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #65 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #112 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #154 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 53.1
ELO Rating: 1184.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 99.3
Return Rating: 82.2

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 31.3
ELO Rating: 998.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1612.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.4
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 5.2
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) hard Brussels 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) hard Brussels 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (1-0) hard Brussels 44 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Emil Ruusuvuori (2-1) hard Brussels 128 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (1-2) hard Shanghai 148 min

Joao Fonseca
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (0-2) hard Brussels 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Machac (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Terence Atmane (0-2) hard Cincinnati 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-1) hard Cincinnati 98 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
vs
0
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Joao Fonseca at the ATP 500 tournament in Basel, Switzerland, promises to be a closely contested battle in the Round of 32 on hard court. The prediction slightly favors Joao Fonseca, with a probability of winning set at 50.67%, while Mpetshi Perricard's chances stand at 49.33%. The predicted total number of games played is anticipated to be around 24.

Match Analysis

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, currently ranked 33, boasts a form index of 53.06 and an Elo rating of 1184.95, indicating a solid competitive standing. His fatigue level is at 0, suggesting he enters the match fresh. With a surface strength index of 10.85, he shows decent adaptability on hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index of 99.25 is superior to Fonseca’s 94.50, which could give him a slight edge in service games. In terms of returning, however, Mpetshi Perricard's mean return index of 82.16 is lower than Fonseca’s 86.20, presenting a potential vulnerability against his opponent's serve. Joao Fonseca, ranked 46, has a lower form index of 31.31 and an Elo rating of 998.60, reflecting a tougher recent stretch. Like Mpetshi Perricard, he also has a fatigue level of 0. Over the last three matches, Fonseca registered one win but struggled in his most recent encounters, particularly at the Brussels tournament. In contrast, Mpetshi Perricard has demonstrated stronger recent form, with two wins in his last three matches, suggesting he has found better rhythm.

Final Prediction

Joao Fonseca's slight advantage in return capabilities coupled with Mpetshi Perricard's stronger serve could ultimately shape the outcome of this match. A key factor to monitor will be how effectively Mpetshi Perricard can leverage his serve against Fonseca's returning strength, which may determine the match's dynamics.