Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Grigor Dimitrov vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Grigor Dimitrov

Rank: #38
36%
VS

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #13
64%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Player Metrics

Grigor Dimitrov

Form Index: 68.7
ELO Rating: 2413.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1757.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 19.9
Clay: 24.5
Grass: 26.4
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 86.2

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 57.6
ELO Rating: 2859.6
Glicko2 Rating: 2066.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 70.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 27.9
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 41.0
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Grigor Dimitrov

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Daniil Medvedev

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Paris 70 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Vienna 135 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-1) hard Vienna 138 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) hard Almaty 156 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (2-1) hard Almaty 132 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Grigor Dimitrov
vs
2
Daniil Medvedev
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Paris Masters 1000 tournament, Grigor Dimitrov is set to face Daniil Medvedev on hard courts in France. The predicted winner is Daniil Medvedev, with a probability of winning at 63.91%, while Grigor Dimitrov stands at 36.09%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 13th, boasts a higher Elo rating of 2859.59 compared to Grigor Dimitrov's 2413.30, indicating his stronger overall performance. Medvedev's form index of 57.57 suggests he has been performing consistently, although his cumulative fatigue of 70 minutes may influence his endurance. On the other hand, Dimitrov's form index is higher at 68.70, and he has no accumulated fatigue from the current tournament, which could give him an advantage in terms of freshness. The surface strength index favors Medvedev (27.93) over Dimitrov (19.94), reflecting Medvedev's proficiency on hard courts. Additionally, Medvedev's mean serve index (95.25) is slightly lower than Dimitrov's (97.38), but the difference is not significant enough to be a decisive factor. In their recent performances, Dimitrov has shown strong form, winning all three of his last matches at Wimbledon, including a dominant performance against Jannik Sinner. In contrast, Medvedev's last match at the Paris tournament resulted in a straightforward victory over Jaume Munar. However, he did suffer a setback in the previous Vienna tournament, where he lost to Corentin Moutet. This recent inconsistency may play a role in the match dynamics.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's higher rank, Elo rating, and superior surface strength index provide him with a distinct edge over Grigor Dimitrov. A key factor to monitor will be how Medvedev manages his fatigue, especially against a rejuvenated Dimitrov, who has been in strong form lately.