Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Hugo Gaston vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction

Hugo Gaston

Rank: #125
51%
VS

Shintaro Mochizuki

Rank: #112
49%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Hugo Gaston

Player Metrics

Hugo Gaston

Form Index: 20.1
ELO Rating: 660.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.5
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 89.6

Shintaro Mochizuki

Form Index: 82.1
ELO Rating: 545.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1572.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 4.2
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 93.3
Return Rating: 90.3

Recent Matches

Hugo Gaston

  • Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (0-2) hard Winston Salem 81 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (1-2) hard Cincinnati 154 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Toronto 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-1) hard Toronto 115 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Norbert Gombos (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 86 min

Shintaro Mochizuki

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jurij Rodionov (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (0-2) hard Cincinnati 121 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Facundo Bagnis (2-1) hard Cincinnati 115 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Hugo Gaston
vs
0
Shintaro Mochizuki
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the US Open, held on hard courts in New York City, Hugo Gaston is set to face Shintaro Mochizuki. The match presents a closely contested matchup, with Gaston having a predicted winning probability of 51.50% versus Mochizuki's 48.50%. The anticipated total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Hugo Gaston, currently ranked 125th, has a form index of 20.07 and an Elo rating of 660.16. His cumulative fatigue is at 0 minutes, indicating he is well-rested. Gaston possesses a surface strength index of 6.48, a mean serve index of 96.61, and a mean return index of 89.62, showcasing a solid serving ability. In contrast, Shintaro Mochizuki holds a higher rank at 112, with a form index of 82.15 and an Elo rating of 545.10. However, he faces considerable fatigue with 522 minutes accumulated, which could impact his performance. Mochizuki's surface strength index stands at 4.23, with a mean serve index of 93.30 and a mean return index of 90.33. The differences in their serve and return indices are minimal, with Gaston having a slight advantage in serving efficiency. Examining their recent performances, Gaston has struggled, losing his last three matches without securing a victory. His most recent match ended in a loss to Marton Fucsovics at Winston-Salem. Conversely, Mochizuki has demonstrated resilience, winning all three of his last matches at the US Open, including a convincing performance against Daniel Elahi Galan in his most recent encounter.

Final Prediction

Hugo Gaston holds a slight edge due to his better serving capabilities and having no accumulated fatigue, despite his low form index. The key factor to watch will be Mochizuki's ability to manage fatigue against Gaston, whose performance may hinge on sustaining his energy levels throughout the match.