Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #19
53%
VS

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #46
47%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 51.4
ELO Rating: 1223.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1635.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 149.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.5

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 31.3
ELO Rating: 998.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1612.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.4
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 5.2
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik

  • Last Match: vs Henry Bernet (2-1) hard Basel 149 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (1-2) hard Shanghai 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-1) hard Beijing 130 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Beijing 111 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Blanchet (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Joao Fonseca

  • Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (0-2) hard Brussels 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (0-2) hard Cincinnati 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-1) hard Cincinnati 98 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Basel tournament in Switzerland, Jakub Mensik is set to face Joao Fonseca on hard court. The prediction leans slightly towards Mensik, with a win probability of 52.83% compared to Fonseca's 47.17%. The anticipated total number of games in the match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 19th, boasts a form index of 51.43 and an Elo rating of 1223.83. His recent performances show a mix of results, with a victory against Henry Bernet in his last match, but also a loss to Jesper de Jong in the previous tournament. Mensik's cumulative fatigue stands at 149.0 minutes, indicating he has been on court longer than Fonseca, who has yet to accumulate any fatigue in this tournament. Mensik's surface strength index of 13.11 suggests he has a moderate capability on hard surfaces, while his mean serve index of 97.28 and mean return index of 87.50 indicate strong serving and returning skills, with a significant advantage over Fonseca's mean serve index of 94.50. Joao Fonseca, ranked 46th, has a lower form index of 31.31 and an Elo rating of 998.60. His recent matches highlight a struggle, having lost both of his last two encounters against Botic van de Zandschulp and Tomas Machac. However, he did secure a convincing win against Miomir Kecmanovic earlier in the US Open. Fonseca's surface strength index is notably lower at 7.38, which may hinder his performance against Mensik. The mean return index difference, while not exceeding 5 points, still reflects a slight edge for Mensik in terms of returning capabilities.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's edge in serving and returning, coupled with his higher ranking and better recent form, positions him as the favored player in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be how Mensik manages his fatigue levels during the match, which could significantly impact his performance against Fonseca.