Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Jesper de Jong Prediction

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Rank: #1000
32%
VS

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #106
68%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Jesper de Jong

Ranking Trends

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

  • Current Rank: #1000 (None)
  • 3 Months Ago: #1000 (None)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1473 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #1454 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1000 (None)

Jesper de Jong

  • Current Rank: #106 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #94 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #111 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #108 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #114 (2024-07-15)

Player Metrics

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Form Index: 20.5
ELO Rating: 3.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1500.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.1
Clay: 0.0
Grass: 0.0
Serve Rating: 98.4
Return Rating: 86.3

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 42.1
ELO Rating: 719.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Otto Virtanen (1-2) clay Bastad 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Jesper de Jong
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Christopher Eubanks (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Bernard Tomic (1-2) grass Mallorca 116 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Machac (1-2) grass Halle 133 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Halle 67 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
vs
0
Jesper de Jong
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between William Rejchtman Vinciguerra and Jesper de Jong at the ATP 250 tournament in Bastad, Sweden, marks a crucial moment in the Round of 32 on clay. Jesper de Jong is favored to win, with a probability of 68.36%, while Vinciguerra stands at 31.64%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated at 21.

Match Analysis

Jesper de Jong, ranked 106, has a significantly higher form index of 42.14 compared to Vinciguerra's 20.46, suggesting he is in better overall form. De Jong's Elo rating of 719.67 also indicates a stronger competitive level than Vinciguerra's much lower rating of 3.0. Both players show no cumulative fatigue, which means they enter the match in optimal physical condition. The surface strength index favors De Jong as well, having a rating of 6.91 against Vinciguerra's 0.03. Additionally, De Jong's mean serve index of 95.53 is slightly lower than Vinciguerra's 98.38, but the difference in their mean return index is marginal, with De Jong at 87.11 and Vinciguerra at 86.30. In terms of recent performances, Vinciguerra's last match resulted in a loss to Otto Virtanen, where he won 1 out of 3 sets. In contrast, De Jong's last three matches include one win against Christopher Eubanks, where he prevailed in a competitive 3-set match, and two losses in tightly contested matches. This indicates that while De Jong is coming off a mixed performance, his recent win suggests a resurgence in confidence.

Final Prediction

Jesper de Jong's superior ranking, form, and competitive experience provide him with a distinct advantage over William Rejchtman Vinciguerra. A key factor to watch will be De Jong's ability to capitalize on his return game, given his marginally higher return index, which could prove pivotal in dictating the flow of the match.