Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Quarterfinals

Jiri Lehecka vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #21
22%
VS

Carlos Alcaraz

Rank: #2
78%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Carlos Alcaraz

Ranking Trends

Jiri Lehecka

  • Current Rank: #21 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #34 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #22 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #28 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #38 (2024-08-26)

Carlos Alcaraz

  • Current Rank: #2 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #2 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #3 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #3 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #3 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 87.5
ELO Rating: 1953.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1720.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 17.0
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 85.2

Carlos Alcaraz

Form Index: 91.0
ELO Rating: 6790.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2362.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.8
Clay: 60.8
Grass: 58.9
Serve Rating: 94.1
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Jiri Lehecka
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Adrian Mannarino (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Borna Coric (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Cincinnati 81 min

Carlos Alcaraz
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Rinderknech (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jannik Sinner (1-0) hard Cincinnati 23 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jiri Lehecka
vs
1
Carlos Alcaraz
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Jiri Lehecka and Carlos Alcaraz at the US Open 2025 promises to be an exciting encounter on hard courts in New York. With Alcaraz currently ranked 2nd and Lehecka at 21st, the predicted winner is Carlos Alcaraz, who has a winning probability of 78.18%, while Lehecka is at 21.82%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 35.

Match Analysis

Carlos Alcaraz possesses a higher ranking and a significantly better form index (91.01) compared to Jiri Lehecka's 87.49. Alcaraz's Elo rating of 6790.31 illustrates his status as one of the top players in the game, while Lehecka's rating of 1953.90 indicates he is still establishing himself at this level. Both players have a cumulative fatigue of 696 minutes, but Alcaraz's superior surface strength index of 55.84 compared to Lehecka's 17.49 suggests he is more adept on hard courts. The difference in their mean serve index (94.13 for Alcaraz vs 97.40 for Lehecka) is less than 5 points, but the mean return index shows a closer match, with Alcaraz at 86.76 and Lehecka at 85.24. In their last three matches, Alcaraz has shown impressive form, winning all of his matches in straight sets and not losing a single set, indicating his dominance. Lehecka has also performed well, winning all three of his matches, but he has dropped a set in two out of the three matches, revealing a potential vulnerability under pressure.

Final Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz has a clear edge in this matchup due to his higher ranking, better form, and superior hard court performance. A key factor to watch will be how well Lehecka can handle Alcaraz's relentless pressure on serve and return, as this may determine the flow of the match.