Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #14
60%
VS

Ethan Quinn

Rank: #71
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Ranking Trends

Karen Khachanov

  • Current Rank: #14 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #16 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #25 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #20 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #21 (2024-10-28)

Ethan Quinn

  • Current Rank: #71 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #86 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #119 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #160 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #219 (2024-10-28)

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 15.9
ELO Rating: 1618.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1736.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.2
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.7

Ethan Quinn

Form Index: 53.7
ELO Rating: 792.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1595.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 163.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.2
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 94.1
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (1-2) hard Vienna 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-2) hard Almaty 139 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juncheng Shang (0-2) hard Shanghai 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) hard Beijing 168 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Ethan Quinn
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (2-0) hard Paris 94 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Blanchet (2-0) hard Paris 69 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) hard Vienna 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Vit Kopriva (2-1) hard Vienna 111 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Mark Lajal (1-2) hard Stockholm 117 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Karen Khachanov
vs
0
Ethan Quinn
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Karen Khachanov and Ethan Quinn takes place in the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, France, on hard courts. With a predicted win probability of 59.70%, Khachanov is favored over Quinn, who has a 40.30% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov, currently ranked 14th, boasts a solid form index of 15.90 and an Elo rating of approximately 1618. He enters this match without any cumulative fatigue from previous matches in the tournament, which may give him an advantage in stamina. His surface strength index stands at 13.24, indicating he performs well on hard courts. Notably, Khachanov's mean serve index of 96.81 is higher than Quinn's 94.11 by more than 5 points, showcasing his superior serving ability. Additionally, Khachanov's mean return index of 85.74 also exceeds Quinn's 84.87, albeit by a smaller margin. Ethan Quinn, ranked 71st, has shown promising form with a form index of 53.68, but his recent performances are a mixed bag. He has registered two consecutive wins in Paris against Botic van de Zandschulp and Ugo Blanchet, but prior to these victories, he lost to Damir Dzumhur in Vienna. Despite his recent success, Quinn carries a cumulative fatigue of 163 minutes, which may impact his performance against a more experienced opponent like Khachanov.

Final Prediction

Khachanov's higher ranking, better serving and returning statistics, and lack of fatigue position him as the likely favorite in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how Quinn manages his fatigue and whether he can leverage his recent momentum to challenge Khachanov effectively.