Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 16

Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

Leandro Riedi

Rank: #436
21%
VS

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #8
79%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Alex de Minaur

Player Metrics

Leandro Riedi

Form Index: 90.5
ELO Rating: 696.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 870.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 3.9
Grass: 3.4
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 86.0

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 71.3
ELO Rating: 2589.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1792.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.4
Clay: 27.1
Grass: 28.5
Serve Rating: 94.3
Return Rating: 88.1

Recent Matches

Leandro Riedi

  • Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (1-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Garrett Johns (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Otto Virtanen (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luka Pavlovic (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Alex de Minaur

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) hard Cincinnati 99 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) hard Toronto 144 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Leandro Riedi
vs
0
Alex de Minaur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the US Open 2025, Leandro Riedi faces off against Alex de Minaur on hard courts in New York. The match is poised to be competitive, though Alex de Minaur is favored to win with a probability of 79.47%, while Riedi's chances stand at 20.53%. The predicted total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Leandro Riedi currently holds a rank of 436 and has a strong form index of 90.45, indicating he has been performing well recently despite his lower ranking. His Elo rating is 696.17, significantly below De Minaur’s impressive 2589.79, which reflects his higher level of play and consistency on the tour. Riedi's cumulative fatigue is at 870 minutes, a factor that may hinder his performance against a more seasoned opponent. His surface strength index is relatively low at 6.32. In contrast, Alex de Minaur is currently ranked 8th and boasts a surface strength index of 20.43, showcasing his capability on hard courts. With a fatigue level of 348 minutes, he is less burdened than Riedi, which could play a crucial role in the match. In their recent performances, Riedi has won all three of his last matches in the tournament, albeit with varying degrees of challenge. He has shown resilience, especially in his match against Francisco Cerundolo where he won after a closely contested battle. De Minaur, on the other hand, has also secured victories in his last two matches, including a solid performance against Daniel Altmaier where he won 3-1 in sets. His only recent loss came at the Cincinnati tournament, which he will be eager to rectify in this Grand Slam setting.

Final Prediction

Alex de Minaur's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and greater experience on the professional circuit present him with a clear edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how well Riedi can handle the pressure and fatigue levels, particularly as the match progresses, which may ultimately determine the outcome.