Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #10
61%
VS

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #39
39%
Predicted Games Played: 40.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 31.1
ELO Rating: 2389.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1716.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.8
Clay: 23.9
Grass: 22.0
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.2

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 48.4
ELO Rating: 1005.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1527.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 10.7
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 82.9

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (1-2) hard Cincinnati 166 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) hard Toronto 151 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs James Duckworth (2-0) hard Toronto 82 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-2) hard Washington 126 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Last Match: vs Botic Van De Zandschulp (0-2) hard Winston Salem 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-0) hard Winston Salem 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Winston Salem 62 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-1) hard Winston Salem 111 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (0-2) hard Cincinnati 55 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Lorenzo Musetti
vs
0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
2 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Lorenzo Musetti and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at the US Open, held in New York on hard courts, marks the Round of 128 in this prestigious Grand Slam tournament. Lorenzo Musetti is predicted to win with a probability of 61.35%, while Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 38.65% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is approximately 40.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti, currently ranked 10, boasts a form index of 31.12 and an Elo rating of 2389.30, indicating strong performance metrics. He has not experienced any cumulative fatigue during the tournament, allowing him to maintain peak physical condition. His surface strength index of 12.81 demonstrates solid adaptability on hard courts, while a mean serve index of 96.93 and a mean return index of 88.25 highlight his balanced game, especially in returning serves effectively. In contrast, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, ranked 39, presents a form index of 48.37 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 1005.59. Though he also has zero fatigue, his surface strength index of 10.01 and a mean serve index of 97.73 suggest a competent serve, but a lower mean return index of 82.92 indicates potential vulnerabilities in receiving serves. The difference in return indices (over 5 points) could be a critical factor. In their recent performances, Musetti has struggled, losing two of his last three matches, with his last match against Benjamin Bonzi ending in defeat. Mpetshi Perricard, however, managed to secure a victory against Hamad Medjedovic in his second most recent match, although he lost his last match against Botic Van De Zandschulp, indicating inconsistency in recent form.

Final Prediction

Musetti's higher ranking, superior return game, and overall performance metrics provide him with a clear advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Musetti can handle Perricard's serve, particularly given the discrepancies in their return indices.