Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 16

Lorenzo Musetti vs Jaume Munar Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #10
66%
VS

Jaume Munar

Rank: #46
34%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Ranking Trends

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Current Rank: #10 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #7 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #17 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #17 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #18 (2024-08-26)

Jaume Munar

  • Current Rank: #46 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #57 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #57 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #63 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #84 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 64.7
ELO Rating: 2389.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1722.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 23.9
Grass: 22.0
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 88.3

Jaume Munar

Form Index: 80.6
ELO Rating: 1249.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1624.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.7
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Musetti
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (1-2) hard Cincinnati 166 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) hard Toronto 151 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (2-0) hard Toronto 82 min

Jaume Munar
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Zizou Bergs (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Gabriel Diallo (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jaime Faria (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Marton Fucsovics (0-2) hard Winston Salem 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Winston Salem 141 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Musetti
vs
1
Jaume Munar
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the US Open in New York features Lorenzo Musetti facing Jaume Munar on hard court. With Musetti ranked 10th and holding a 65.93% probability of winning, he is favored over the 46th-ranked Munar, who has a win probability of 34.07%. The predicted total number of games played is 36.0.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti enters this match with a form index of 64.67 and an impressive Elo rating of 2389.61. His fatigue level stands at 348 minutes, which is relatively manageable given the intensity of the tournament. Musetti's surface strength index of 12.95 highlights his capabilities on hard court, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.82 and a mean return index of 88.34. Notably, Musetti's serve index is significantly higher than Munar's by over 2 points, giving him a crucial advantage in service games. In contrast, Jaume Munar has a form index of 80.62, indicating strong recent performances. However, his Elo rating of 1249.20 suggests a considerable gap in experience and skill level compared to Musetti. Munar's fatigue level is higher at 522 minutes, which could impact his endurance in this high-stakes match. His mean serve index of 94.61 and mean return index of 87.65 show he is competitive, but Musetti's superior serving capabilities and slightly better returning may prove pivotal.

Final Prediction

Musetti's higher ranking, better serve, and return indices, along with a lower fatigue level, give him a distinct edge in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be how both players handle pressure points, particularly on serve, as Musetti's strong serving game could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.