Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Lorenzo Sonego vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #46
52%
VS

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #68
48%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Sonego

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 34.4
ELO Rating: 1023.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1593.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 96.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 85.0

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 28.6
ELO Rating: 625.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1542.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 124.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.2

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Fery (2-0) hard Stockholm 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (1-2) hard Shanghai 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Beijing 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (0-2) hard Chengdu 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-1) hard Chengdu 130 min

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-1) hard Stockholm 124 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Juncheng Shang (1-2) hard Shanghai 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (1-2) hard Tokio 119 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (1-2) hard Hangzhou 152 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Sonego
vs
0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Stockholm tournament will see Lorenzo Sonego take on Aleksandar Kovacevic on hard courts. With a slightly favorable edge, Sonego is predicted to win with a probability of 52.20%, while Kovacevic stands at 47.80%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 24.0.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Sonego currently holds a rank of 46 and boasts a form index of 34.36, indicating decent performance levels. His Elo rating of 1023.42 reflects a solid standing in the competitive landscape. Sonego's fatigue level is at 96 minutes, which is relatively manageable, especially compared to Kovacevic's 124 minutes. Sonego's surface strength index of 9.28 suggests he is well-suited for hard courts, and his mean serve index of 97.55 is significantly higher than Kovacevic's 96.32, providing him with a crucial edge in service games. Furthermore, Sonego's mean return index of 84.98 is slightly lower than Kovacevic's 85.18, but the difference is marginal. Aleksandar Kovacevic, ranked 68, has a form index of 28.55, indicating he has struggled in recent outings. His Elo rating of 625.27 is markedly lower than Sonego's, reflecting the disparity in their performances. In his last matches, Kovacevic managed to secure a victory against Camilo Ugo Carabelli but faced defeats in two prior contests, suggesting inconsistency. Sonego, on the other hand, has shown resilience, winning his last match convincingly against Arthur Fery, while experiencing setbacks against stronger opponents like Alexander Zverev and Yannick Hanfmann.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego's slight advantage in serve strength and overall ranking provides him with an edge going into this encounter. Additionally, the difference in cumulative fatigue levels may play a pivotal role, as Sonego has less court time to recover from. Observers should watch for Sonego's serve effectiveness, as it will likely dictate the flow of the match.