London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Mackenzie McDonald vs Gael Monfils Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #98
38%
VS

Gael Monfils

Rank: #42
62%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Gael Monfils

Ranking Trends

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Current Rank: #98 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #101 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #131 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #149 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #76 (2024-06-17)

Gael Monfils

  • Current Rank: #42 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #46 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #55 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #44 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #38 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 56.9
ELO Rating: 493.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1610.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 156.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.6
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.7
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 86.1

Gael Monfils

Form Index: 36.0
ELO Rating: 1408.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1614.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.8
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 9.2
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Henry Searle (2-0) grass London 64 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) grass London 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 161 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Thijs Boogaard (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 82 min

Gael Monfils
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Dellien (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) clay Hamburg 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Borna Gojo (2-1) clay Madrid 102 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
0
Gael Monfils
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Mackenzie McDonald and Gael Monfils at the London ATP 500 tournament marks a critical Round of 32 clash on grass. With Monfils ranked higher and enjoying a significant edge in probability, he is predicted to win with a 62.26% chance, while McDonald has a 37.74% likelihood of success. The projected total number of games in this encounter is estimated at 24.

Match Analysis

Mackenzie McDonald currently holds a rank of 98, with a form index of 56.89 and an Elo rating of 493.94. He has accumulated 156 minutes of cumulative fatigue from his recent matches, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index of 4.71 highlights a lack of dominance on grass courts. In contrast, Gael Monfils, ranked 42, has a form index of 36.01 and an Elo rating of 1408.61. Notably, Monfils has zero minutes of cumulative fatigue, which could provide him with a considerable advantage as he steps onto the court. His surface strength index of 9.22 indicates a more robust performance potential on grass compared to McDonald. In terms of serve and return capabilities, McDonald's mean serve index of 96.27 slightly surpasses Monfils' 95.72, indicating he has a marginally better serve. However, the difference in their mean return index favors McDonald as well, with his 86.07 compared to Monfils' 85.87. Recent performances reveal that McDonald has won his last two matches convincingly, while Monfils has struggled, losing two of his last three matches.

Final Prediction

Gael Monfils is favored to win due to his higher ranking, better surface strength, and lack of fatigue, despite recent setbacks. A key factor to observe will be how both players manage their serve and return games, particularly given McDonald's slight edge in both metrics. Monfils' ability to capitalize on his rest and experience on grass will likely play a crucial role in determining the match outcome.