S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Mark Lajal vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction

Mark Lajal

Rank: #195
21%
VS

Hubert Hurkacz

Rank: #32
79%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Hubert Hurkacz

Player Metrics

Mark Lajal

Form Index: 55.4
ELO Rating: 434.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1543.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 213.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.7
Clay: 1.7
Grass: 4.0
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 83.0

Hubert Hurkacz

Form Index: 47.0
ELO Rating: 2312.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1818.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 98.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 21.4
Grass: 22.6
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 84.1

Recent Matches

Mark Lajal

  • Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Denolly (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 60 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaime Faria (1-2) hard Australian Open 174 min

Hubert Hurkacz

  • Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-2) clay Geneva 185 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) clay Geneva 60 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) clay Geneva 85 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mark Lajal
vs
0
Hubert Hurkacz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the s'Hertogenbosch tournament, held on grass in the Netherlands, Hubert Hurkacz is predicted to emerge victorious against Mark Lajal. The probabilities of winning stand at 78.65% for Hurkacz and 21.35% for Lajal, with an expected total of 24 games in the match.

Match Analysis

Mark Lajal currently holds a ranking of 195, with a form index of 55.43 and an Elo rating of 434.64, indicating a relatively low competitive standing. His cumulative fatigue is significantly higher at 213 minutes, which may impact his performance. On grass, his surface strength index registers at 4.04, suggesting limited effectiveness on this surface. His mean serve index of 94.39 is competitive, but he trails behind Hurkacz's serve index, which stands at 96.92, demonstrating a gap of over 5 points. Similarly, Lajal's mean return index of 83.00 falls short of Hurkacz's 84.15 by more than 5 points, further highlighting the Polish player's superior return capabilities. In contrast, Hubert Hurkacz, ranked 32, has a form index of 47.03 and a much higher Elo rating of 2312.14. His fatigue level is relatively low at 98 minutes, which may benefit him in a potentially prolonged match. Hurkacz's recent performances include a solid victory over Roberto Bautista Agut, demonstrating his current form and readiness. While he faced setbacks at the Roland Garros and Geneva tournaments, his recent win suggests he is regaining his competitive edge on grass.

Final Prediction

The predicted winner, Hubert Hurkacz, holds a significant advantage due to his higher ranking, stronger serve and return indexes, and lower fatigue level. A key factor to watch will be Hurkacz's ability to leverage his serve against Lajal, potentially dictating the pace of the match and capitalizing on Lajal's weaknesses on grass.