Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Quarterfinals

Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #7
46%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
54%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 96.9
ELO Rating: 3511.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2548.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 31.2
Grass: 33.4
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.5

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 88.4
ELO Rating: 3959.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1819.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.2
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.8
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Novak Djokovic

  • Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Zachary Svajda (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jerome Kym (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lloyd Harris (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (1-2) hard Cincinnati 119 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Novak Djokovic
vs
0
Taylor Fritz
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the US Open, held on hard courts in New York, Novak Djokovic faces Taylor Fritz in a highly anticipated matchup. The predicted winner is Taylor Fritz, with a win probability of 54.02% compared to Djokovic's 45.98%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 38 games played.

Match Analysis

Novak Djokovic, currently ranked 7th, possesses a form index of 96.92 and an impressive Elo rating of 3511.89. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 696 minutes, reflecting a physically demanding path to the quarterfinals. Djokovic's surface strength index is 31.25, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.34, indicating his serving prowess. However, his mean return index of 87.48 is notably higher than Fritz's return index of 85.62, but the difference is marginal. Taylor Fritz, ranked 4th, has a slightly lower form index of 88.42 but a higher Elo rating of 3959.37. Both players exhibit the same level of cumulative fatigue, which may influence their performance. In their recent performances at the US Open, both players have been dominant. Djokovic has won all his matches without dropping a set, showcasing his consistency and resilience. Conversely, Fritz has also been impressive, winning his last three matches, two of which resulted in a single set dropped. This shared momentum sets the stage for an intriguing clash, as both players enter the match with strong confidence.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's edge in the prediction stems from a slight statistical advantage and his higher Elo rating, suggesting he has been performing at a higher level overall. A key factor to observe during the match will be how each player manages their fatigue, as both have accumulated the same amount of court time in this tournament, which could play a crucial role in the outcome.