Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Chris Rodesch Prediction

Pablo Carreno Busta

Rank: #94
50%
VS

Chris Rodesch

Rank: #163
50%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta

Player Metrics

Pablo Carreno Busta

Form Index: 41.7
ELO Rating: 500.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1504.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 3.9
Grass: 2.7
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 85.8

Chris Rodesch

Form Index: 71.1
ELO Rating: 404.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1514.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.5
Clay: 1.4
Grass: 3.0
Serve Rating: 89.5
Return Rating: 83.8

Recent Matches

Pablo Carreno Busta

  • Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (1-2) clay Rome 126 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (1-2) clay Rome 140 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) clay Rome 96 min

Chris Rodesch

  • Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mark Lajal (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Gigante (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Blanchet (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Pablo Carreno Busta
vs
0
Chris Rodesch
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Chris Rodesch at Wimbledon marks a critical phase in the Round of 128 on the grass surface. With both players showing competitive potential, the predicted winner is Pablo Carreno Busta, with a probability of 50.27% compared to Rodesch's 49.73%. The match is anticipated to be closely contested, with a predicted total of 37 games played.

Match Analysis

Pablo Carreno Busta holds a rank of 94 and has a form index of 41.74, indicating a challenging period for him recently. His Elo rating stands at 500.38, while his fatigue level is at 0.0, suggesting he has not expended significant energy in this tournament thus far. Carreno Busta's surface strength index is 2.70, indicating moderate proficiency on grass, but he boasts a mean serve index of 95.83, which is notably higher than Chris Rodesch's mean serve index of 89.54, creating a difference of over 6 points. Additionally, Carreno Busta's mean return index of 85.83 surpasses Rodesch's by more than 2 points, providing him with a slight advantage in return game. In contrast, Chris Rodesch, ranked 163, shows a more favorable form index of 71.13, reflecting better recent performances. His Elo rating is lower at 404.20, and he comes into the match with a cumulative fatigue of 522.0 minutes from previous matches in the tournament. Rodesch has demonstrated strong form in his last three matches, winning all in straight sets on grass, including victories against players like Marton Fucsovics and Mark Lajal.

Final Prediction

Pablo Carreno Busta holds a slight edge due to his superior serve and return indices, as well as his lack of fatigue heading into the match. However, Rodesch's recent form on grass cannot be overlooked, making the match a potential upset opportunity. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Carreno Busta can leverage his serving advantage against Rodesch's resilient baseline play.