Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Reilly Opelka vs Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #62
54%
VS

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #82
46%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Reilly Opelka

Ranking Trends

Reilly Opelka

  • Current Rank: #62 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #74 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #103 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #170 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #297 (2024-10-21)

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Current Rank: #82 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #103 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #88 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #84 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #67 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 44.9
ELO Rating: 1029.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1659.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 251.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 98.6
Return Rating: 82.9

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 52.6
ELO Rating: 953.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 187.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Reilly Opelka
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Baez (2-0) hard Basel 72 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mika Brunold (2-1) hard Basel 179 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (0-2) hard Brussels 69 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (0-2) hard Shanghai 95 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Botic van de Zandschulp
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jiri Lehecka (2-0) hard Basel 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) hard Basel 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Eliot Spizzirri (0-2) hard Brussels 74 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Joao Fonseca (2-0) hard Brussels 122 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nuno Borges (0-2) hard Shanghai 136 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Reilly Opelka
vs
0
Botic van de Zandschulp
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Basel tournament, Reilly Opelka will face Botic van de Zandschulp on hard courts in Switzerland. The match is expected to be competitive, with Opelka slightly favored to win, holding a probability of 54.15% compared to van de Zandschulp's 45.85%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 24.

Match Analysis

Reilly Opelka currently holds a rank of 62, with a form index of 44.94 and an Elo rating of 1029.28. His fatigue level is relatively high at 251 minutes, indicating a more demanding tournament experience thus far. Opelka's surface strength index stands at 8.87, with a mean serve index of 98.61, suggesting a powerful serving game. In contrast, Botic van de Zandschulp is ranked 82, with a form index of 52.60 and an Elo rating of 953.76. His fatigue is lower at 187 minutes, and he has a stronger surface strength index of 9.44. However, Opelka's significant advantage in the mean serve index highlights his capability to dominate on serve. Both players have shown commendable performances in their recent matches. Opelka has won his last two matches at Basel, defeating Sebastian Baez and Mika Brunold, although he faced a setback against Benjamin Bonzi in Brussels. Van de Zandschulp has also been in good form, winning his last two matches against Jiri Lehecka and Mattia Bellucci, while his earlier match in Brussels resulted in a loss to Eliot Spizzirri.

Final Prediction

Reilly Opelka's edge in serving power and his recent victories provide him with a slight advantage going into this match. A key factor to watch will be how effectively he can leverage his serve against van de Zandschulp's return game, which has shown solid performance but may struggle against Opelka's powerful serves.