Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #47
60%
VS

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #59
40%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Roberto Bautista Agut

Ranking Trends

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Current Rank: #47 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #49 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #53 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #51 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #67 (2024-08-26)

Jacob Fearnley

  • Current Rank: #59 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #55 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #81 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #98 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #158 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 39.6
ELO Rating: 1191.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1611.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 9.2
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 87.2

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 16.1
ELO Rating: 892.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1526.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Roberto Bautista Agut
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marton Fucsovics (0-2) hard Winston Salem 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Christopher O'Connell (1-0) hard Winston Salem 51 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Cincinnati 109 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) hard Cincinnati 111 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Cincinnati 119 min

Jacob Fearnley
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Hamad Medjedovic (0-2) hard Winston Salem 94 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) hard Cincinnati 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (0-2) hard Toronto 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (0-2) grass Eastbourne 63 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roberto Bautista Agut
vs
0
Jacob Fearnley
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Roberto Bautista Agut and Jacob Fearnley takes place at the US Open in New York, within the Round of 128 phase on a hard surface. The predicted winner is Roberto Bautista Agut, with a probability of winning set at 59.56%, while Jacob Fearnley holds a 40.44% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 36.0.

Match Analysis

Roberto Bautista Agut, currently ranked 47th, boasts a form index of 39.59 and an Elo rating of 1191.50. His surface strength index stands at 9.03, reflecting his proficiency on hard courts. With a mean serve index of 97.02 and a mean return index of 87.20, Bautista Agut demonstrates a solid serving game, significantly outpacing Fearnley's mean serve index of 94.67 by over 5 points. In contrast, Fearnley's return index of 88.77 is slightly better, but the difference is less than the established threshold, indicating a more balanced return game. Both players have struggled in recent matches, with Bautista Agut losing two of his last three, including a recent defeat to Marton Fucsovics. His only victory came against Christopher O'Connell. Fearnley, on the other hand, also faces a challenging spell, having lost all three recent matches, including two at Winston-Salem and one at Cincinnati, failing to win a set in any of those contests.

Final Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut's experience and superior serving capabilities provide him with a distinct edge over Jacob Fearnley in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be Bautista Agut's ability to capitalize on his serving advantage, as it could dictate the flow and outcome of the match.