London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Nuno Borges Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #51
38%
VS

Nuno Borges

Rank: #38
62%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Nuno Borges

Ranking Trends

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Current Rank: #51 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #50 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #51 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #62 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #83 (2024-06-17)

Nuno Borges

  • Current Rank: #38 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #42 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #36 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #30 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #51 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 23.9
ELO Rating: 1106.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1575.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 9.6
Grass: 9.4
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 87.4

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 50.6
ELO Rating: 1393.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 11.8
Grass: 10.9
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Roberto Bautista Agut
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Hubert Hurkacz (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Hamburg 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Frances Tiafoe (2-0) clay Hamburg 86 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-0) clay Hamburg 97 min

Nuno Borges
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexei Popyrin (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Casper Ruud (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Kyrian Jacquet (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roberto Bautista Agut
vs
0
Nuno Borges
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Nuno Borges will take place in the Round of 32 at a grass court event in London, part of the ATP 500 series. Nuno Borges is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 61.90%, while Roberto Bautista Agut holds a 38.10% chance of winning. The expected total number of games played in this match is 23.

Match Analysis

Roberto Bautista Agut currently ranks 51st, with a form index of 23.88 and an Elo rating of 1106.77. His surface strength index on grass stands at 9.35, indicating he struggles more on this surface compared to his opponent. In contrast, Nuno Borges is ranked 38th, boasts a form index of 50.60, and has a significantly higher Elo rating of 1393.67. Borges also possesses a better surface strength index of 10.85, suggesting he is more adept on grass. The mean serve index of Bautista Agut is 97.02, while Borges trails slightly at 95.15. The mean return index is where Bautista Agut shines with an 87.43 compared to Borges' 87.35, but the small difference does not indicate a significant advantage. In their recent performances, Bautista Agut has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a straight-sets defeat to Hubert Hurkacz at the same tournament. His form is concerning as he has not secured a win since Roland Garros. Conversely, Borges has a mixed record, winning one of his last three matches, with a notable victory against Nishesh Basavareddy. However, he too faced a loss in his last match against Ugo Humbert, indicating some inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Nuno Borges has a clear edge in this matchup due to his superior ranking, better recent form, and higher Elo rating. The key factor to watch will be how well Bautista Agut can leverage his serve, as a strong performance there may allow him to remain competitive against Borges.