Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Sebastian Korda vs Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #45
49%
VS

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rank: #49
51%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Miomir Kecmanovic

Ranking Trends

Sebastian Korda

  • Current Rank: #45 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #23 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #22 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #16 (2024-08-19)

Miomir Kecmanovic

  • Current Rank: #49 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #46 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #42 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #54 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #53 (2024-08-19)

Player Metrics

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 63.4
ELO Rating: 1691.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1666.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 211.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.4

Miomir Kecmanovic

Form Index: 49.1
ELO Rating: 1033.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 150.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.5
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Sebastian Korda
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-1) hard Winston Salem 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) hard Winston Salem 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Miomir Kecmanovic
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 58 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) hard Winston Salem 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) hard Cincinnati 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) hard Toronto 127 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Toronto 137 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Sebastian Korda
vs
0
Miomir Kecmanovic
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Winston-Salem Open features Sebastian Korda facing off against Miomir Kecmanovic on hard courts. With a slight edge in probabilities, Kecmanovic is favored to win with a 51.45% chance, compared to Korda’s 48.55%. The predicted total number of games in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Korda, currently ranked 45th, holds a form index of 63.42 and an Elo rating of 1691.10. Despite his higher surface strength index of 14.87, he comes into this match with a cumulative fatigue of 211 minutes from previous matches. Korda's mean serve index of 96.99 and return index of 85.42 suggest he is consistent with his serve but faces a challenge against Kecmanovic in terms of fatigue. On the other hand, Miomir Kecmanovic, ranked 49th, has a form index of 49.15 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 1033.75. His fatigue level is also lower at 150 minutes. Kecmanovic has a mean serve index of 95.56, and a slightly stronger return index of 86.84, which gives him an advantage in returning serves. In their last three matches, Korda has shown resilience with a notable win against Kamil Majchrzak, but he also faced a defeat at Roland Garros against Frances Tiafoe. Kecmanovic, on the other hand, has been in good form at Winston-Salem, winning his last two matches convincingly against both Luciano Darderi and Aleksandar Kovacevic without dropping a set.

Final Prediction

Miomir Kecmanovic’s recent performances and lower fatigue level give him a critical edge going into this match. Watch for Kecmanovic's ability to leverage his return game, as his higher return index could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the match.

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