Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexandre Muller Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rank: #28
58%
VS

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #38
42%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranking Trends

Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Current Rank: #28 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #20 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #11 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #11 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #11 (2024-08-26)

Alexandre Muller

  • Current Rank: #38 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #39 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #41 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #68 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #77 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Form Index: 21.8
ELO Rating: 1869.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1832.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.6
Clay: 23.4
Grass: 22.9
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 85.0

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 34.3
ELO Rating: 1236.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Stefanos Tsitsipas
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Yunchaokete Bu (0-2) hard Winston Salem 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (1-2) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Christopher O'Connell (1-2) hard Toronto 121 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Alexandre Muller
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (0-2) hard Winston Salem 62 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Darwin Blanch (2-1) hard Winston Salem 133 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Toronto 65 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) hard Toronto 127 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
vs
0
Alexandre Muller
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the US Open, Stefanos Tsitsipas is set to face Alexandre Muller on hard courts in New York. The predicted winner is Stefanos Tsitsipas, with a win probability of 58.27%, while Alexandre Muller has a 41.73% chance of victory. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 37 games played.

Match Analysis

Stefanos Tsitsipas currently holds the 28th rank and has a solid form index of 21.81, indicating a reasonable level of performance heading into the match. His Elo rating of 1869 suggests considerable experience and skill. Tsitsipas exhibits a strong surface strength index of 15.59, which is significantly higher than Muller's 7.85, giving him an advantage on hard courts. Additionally, Tsitsipas boasts a mean serve index of 97.39, compared to Muller's 95.26, although the difference is not substantial. However, Tsitsipas' mean return index of 84.98 is lower than Muller's 88.66, indicating that Muller may have the edge in returning serves. In their recent performances, Tsitsipas has struggled, losing his last two matches in the Winston-Salem and Cincinnati tournaments. His recent form is marked by a win against Fabian Marozsan but has been inconsistent overall. Conversely, Muller, ranked 38th, has had a mixed bag of results, including a recent loss to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and a win against Darwin Blanch. While both players have shown vulnerabilities, Tsitsipas has faced tougher opponents, which may have influenced his recent results.

Final Prediction

Tsitsipas has a slight edge in overall ability and experience, making him the favored player in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be how well each player handles the pressure of the hard court surface, particularly Tsitsipas' serving game against Muller's returning capabilities.