Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rank: #25
60%
VS

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #56
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranking Trends

Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Current Rank: #25 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #10 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #11 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #12 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #11 (2024-06-17)

Luciano Darderi

  • Current Rank: #56 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #61 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #44 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #41 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #34 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Form Index: 48.2
ELO Rating: 2406.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1876.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 23.4
Grass: 25.1
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 84.8

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 26.8
ELO Rating: 1177.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.5

Recent Matches

Stefanos Tsitsipas
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Gigante (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Fils (1-2) clay Rome 113 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) clay Rome 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Madrid 114 min

Luciano Darderi
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 150 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Korda (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) clay Hamburg 113 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Diego Dedura (2-0) clay Hamburg 69 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
vs
0
Luciano Darderi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Halle tournament in Germany, Stefanos Tsitsipas is set to face Luciano Darderi on grass. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with Tsitsipas holding a 60.31% probability of victory compared to Darderi's 39.69%. The predicted total number of games is expected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Stefanos Tsitsipas, currently ranked 25, boasts a form index of 48.21 and an Elo rating of 2406.71, indicating a solid level of play. His surface strength index of 25.13 suggests a reasonable adaptation to grass, while his mean serve index of 97.45 reveals a strong serving capability. Conversely, Luciano Darderi, ranked 56, has a much lower form index of 26.84 and an Elo rating of 1177.86, which points to a significant gap in experience and performance potential. Darderi’s surface strength index of 9.78 illustrates challenges on grass, and although his mean serve index of 95.77 is competitive, it doesn't match Tsitsipas' advantage in serving. In their recent matches, Tsitsipas has struggled with consistency, losing two out of his last three encounters, including a tough match against Matteo Gigante at Roland Garros. Darderi, similarly, has faced difficulties, losing all his last three matches, with a notable performance against Nicolas Jarry where he managed to win a set. The results indicate that both players are under pressure, but Tsitsipas has a higher level of resilience and experience on the ATP circuit.

Final Prediction

Tsitsipas is favored to win due to his superior ranking, form, and serving capabilities. The key factor to monitor will be his ability to capitalize on Darderi's vulnerabilities, particularly in the serve and return game, which could dictate the match's pace and outcome.