Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Quarterfinals

Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #28
31%
VS

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
69%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Current Rank: #28 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #31 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #34 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #40 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #35 (2024-10-21)

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #3 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #2 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #3 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 49.9
ELO Rating: 1211.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1677.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 249.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.5
Clay: 10.4
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 85.0

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 60.3
ELO Rating: 5630.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1876.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 226.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 50.7
Clay: 54.0
Grass: 59.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Tallon Griekspoor
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Vienna 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) hard Vienna 123 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (1-2) hard Stockholm 164 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Vacherot (1-2) hard Shanghai 142 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jannik Sinner (2-1) hard Shanghai 156 min

Alexander Zverev
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Vienna 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (2-1) hard Vienna 139 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) hard Shanghai 132 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Shanghai 98 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Beijing 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Tallon Griekspoor
vs
6
Alexander Zverev
Hard
1 - 3
Clay
0 - 3
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Vienna tournament features Tallon Griekspoor facing off against Alexander Zverev on hard court. With Zverev ranked 3rd and Griekspoor 28th, the match is set to be a crucial test for both players. Zverev is predicted to win with a probability of 69.48%, while Griekspoor has a 30.52% chance of victory, with a predicted total of 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Alexander Zverev, ranked 3rd, boasts a form index of 60.27 and an Elo rating of 5630.05, indicating a strong competitive edge. His cumulative fatigue is slightly lower than Griekspoor’s at 226 minutes, suggesting he has maintained better stamina throughout the tournament. Zverev's surface strength index of 50.75 highlights his proficiency on hard courts. In comparison, Tallon Griekspoor, ranked 28th, has a form index of 49.89 and an Elo rating of 1211.35, reflecting a solid but less formidable standing. Griekspoor's fatigue level is higher at 249 minutes, which could impact his performance. The difference in their mean serve index is minimal (Zverev at 96.53 and Griekspoor at 97.99), but Zverev’s mean return index of 87.60 surpasses Griekspoor’s 85.05 by more than 5 points, indicating superior returning capabilities. Recent performances show Zverev coming off a strong victory against Matteo Arnaldi, winning in straight sets and demonstrating efficiency with a match duration of just 87 minutes. His previous match against Jacob Fearnley also showcased his resilience, winning in a competitive encounter. In contrast, Griekspoor has recorded two consecutive wins in Vienna, including a straight-sets victory over Brandon Nakashima, but his earlier loss against Jacob Fearnley may have impacted his momentum.

Final Prediction

Alexander Zverev’s higher rank, superior recent form, and better return capabilities suggest he has a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Zverev’s ability to capitalize on his returning strength, which could dictate the flow of the match and ultimately lead him to victory.