Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Rank: #450
31%
VS

Valentin Vacherot

Rank: #31
69%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Valentin Vacherot

Player Metrics

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Form Index: 72.4
ELO Rating: 189.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1575.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 146
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.8
Clay: 0.0
Grass: 0.0
Serve Rating: 28.1
Return Rating: 61.9

Valentin Vacherot

Form Index: 57.3
ELO Rating: 1442.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1538.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 96
Surface Strength:
Hard: 52.9
Clay: 31.5
Grass: 38.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 92.9

Recent Matches

Thanasi Kokkinakis

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (2-1) hard Adelaide 146 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jack Draper (2-3) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (3-1) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) hard Adelaide 182 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-1) hard Adelaide 130 min

Valentin Vacherot

  • Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Adelaide 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (0-2) hard Brisbane 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Paris 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) hard Paris 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-1) hard Paris 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Thanasi Kokkinakis
vs
0
Valentin Vacherot
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Round of 16 match at the Adelaide tournament features Thanasi Kokkinakis facing off against Valentin Vacherot on hard courts. With the season in full swing, Vacherot is favored to win with a probability of 68.72%, while Kokkinakis has a 31.28% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Thanasi Kokkinakis currently holds a rank of 450, indicating a challenging season thus far. His form index stands at 72.36, showcasing a competitive edge, although his Elo rating of 189.55 suggests he is still rebuilding his profile. Fatigue may be a concern for Kokkinakis, with 146 minutes of cumulative play in the current tournament. His surface strength index is relatively low at 2.83, and while his mean serve index is 28.06, his mean return index of 61.94 shows he has the ability to return effectively. However, with a significant difference in mean serve index compared to Vacherot, he may struggle to maintain pressure on his opponent. On the other hand, Valentin Vacherot is positioned at a much stronger rank of 31, backed by a form index of 57.30 and an Elo rating of 1442.55, indicating a solid performance level. He has managed to keep fatigue lower at 96 minutes and has a more favorable surface strength index of 52.93. His mean serve index is an impressive 98.24, demonstrating his serving prowess, while his mean return index of 92.91 significantly exceeds Kokkinakis’s, further highlighting a potential advantage in both serving and returning dynamics.

Final Prediction

Valentin Vacherot's higher ranking, superior serve and return indices, along with lower fatigue levels, provide him a clear edge heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be Vacherot's ability to leverage his serving strength, which could significantly dictate the flow of the game and challenge Kokkinakis’s returning capabilities.