Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Valentin Royer vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #99
39%
VS

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #76
61%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Yunchaokete Bu

Ranking Trends

Valentin Royer

  • Current Rank: #99 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #120 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #182 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #188 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #200 (2024-08-26)

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current Rank: #76 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #70 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #68 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #66 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #123 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 47.0
ELO Rating: 485.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.1
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.5

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 50.8
ELO Rating: 762.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1528.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Darwin Blanch (1-2) hard Winston Salem 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Kenta Miyoshi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 89 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Cincinnati 110 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Ofner (2-1) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Liam Draxl (2-1) hard Cincinnati 145 min

Yunchaokete Bu
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) hard Winston Salem 158 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (2-0) hard Winston Salem 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-0) hard Winston Salem 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-1) hard Winston Salem 192 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (1-2) hard Cincinnati 139 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Yunchaokete Bu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Valentin Royer and Yunchaokete Bu takes place in the Round of 128 at the US Open, held in New York on hard courts. With Yunchaokete Bu favored to win, the probability of victory stands at 61.30% compared to Royer's 38.70%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 37.0.

Match Analysis

Valentin Royer, ranked 99th, has a form index of 46.98 and an Elo rating of 485.56. His surface strength index is relatively low at 3.09, showcasing some vulnerability on hard courts. In contrast, Yunchaokete Bu is ranked 76th, boasting a form index of 50.82 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 762.83. Bu's surface strength index is markedly better at 8.65, indicating that he is more adept on hard surfaces. The mean serve index reveals a narrow margin, with Royer at 96.30 and Bu at 95.92, while the mean return index shows a more substantial gap with Royer at 88.46 against Bu’s 86.22. In their recent performances, Royer has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches, including a tough encounter against Darwin Blanch where he lost in a close battle. His only victory in recent matches was a solid win over Kenta Miyoshi, but this inconsistency may hinder his confidence. Conversely, Yunchaokete Bu has shown more promise, winning two of his last three matches, including an impressive victory over the highly-ranked Stefanos Tsitsipas, though he recently lost to Botic van de Zandschulp in a closely contested match.

Final Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu’s higher rank, better form index, and superior surface strength give him a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be how each player handles high-pressure moments, particularly in the serve and return game, as these aspects can heavily influence the outcome in a closely matched contest.