Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction
Augsburg
Home Team
17%
VS
Wolfsburg
Away Team
66%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 15 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Ein Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | St Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 3 - 1)
Wolfsburg
- Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.98
# Clean Sheets:
0
Wolfsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.01
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Augsburg and Wolfsburg leans heavily in favor of the visitors, with a 66.0% probability of a Wolfsburg victory. Augsburg, struggling near the bottom, has a mere 17.0% chance of securing a win, while the likelihood of a draw sits at 16.0%. Currently, Augsburg is languishing in 16th place, facing potential relegation, whereas Wolfsburg is positioned 12th in the Bundesliga standings. Additionally, there's a 57.0% probability that the match will see over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair.
Match Analysis
Augsburg's recent form is concerning, with the team suffering a string of three consecutive defeats. Their latest setbacks include losses against Heidenheim, Mainz, and St Pauli, with a consistent pattern of conceding at least two goals per match. This defensive frailty is further highlighted by their average of 3.5 goals conceded over the last five games, coupled with no clean sheets. Offensively, they have been able to score, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but their expected goals tally of 0.69 indicates a struggle to create quality opportunities.
Wolfsburg, on the other hand, has not had the best run but appears more resilient. They managed to secure a high-scoring draw against FC Koln and have been narrowly defeated in their encounters with top teams like RB Leipzig and Dortmund. Wolfsburg's defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of just 1.0 goals in the past five matches, supported by a favorable expected goals conceded of 1.015. Offensively, they match Augsburg’s scoring average of 1.5 goals but boast a higher expected goals rate of 1.78, suggesting more promising attacking play.
Final Prediction
Wolfsburg is poised to capitalize on Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities, giving them the edge in this match-up. Their more robust defense and higher-quality chances in attack make them the favorites. A key factor to watch will be how Augsburg's defense handles Wolfsburg's offensive pressure, especially given their recent performances. This dynamic could be the deciding factor in the match's outcome.