Premier League Power Rankings
Two rating models, one table. ELO measures accumulated strength. Glicko-2 adds uncertainty: the RD column shows how confident the model is. The Rank Δ column reveals where the two systems disagree.
Reading Guide
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | ELO | G2 | RD | ELO± | G2± | Rank Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 | 1597 | 1848 | 201 | +11.9 | +24.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 | 1563 | 1751 | 187 | -28.3 | -127.0 | 0 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 | 1562 | 1723 | 185 | +28.3 | +123.5 | 0 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 | 1550 | 1583 | 191 | +25.5 | +102.4 | +2 |
| 5 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 | 1544 | 1673 | 180 | +22.3 | +80.7 | -1 |
| 6 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 | 1543 | 1627 | 190 | -6.2 | -72.9 | -1 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 1534 | 1573 | 184 | +15.8 | +56.6 | +2 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1524 | 1578 | 182 | +21.0 | +99.5 | -1 |
| 9 | Hull | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 | 1521 | 1533 | 190 | -21.0 | -110.6 | +1 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | 1504 | 1577 | 178 | -22.3 | -78.1 | -2 |
| 11 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 1484 | 1463 | 186 | +0.4 | -45.2 | 0 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | 1475 | 1385 | 181 | -15.8 | -54.9 | +2 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | 1464 | 1453 | 196 | -11.9 | -23.4 | -1 |
| 14 | Nott'm Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | 1462 | 1315 | 190 | -36.7 | -139.0 | +4 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | 1461 | 1372 | 191 | +30.9 | +116.1 | 0 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | 1459 | 1400 | 183 | -25.5 | -91.8 | -3 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | 1454 | 1344 | 192 | +6.2 | +74.3 | 0 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | 1449 | 1361 | 202 | +36.7 | +160.7 | -2 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | 1430 | 1247 | 193 | -0.4 | +50.2 | 0 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 1420 | 1229 | 184 | -30.9 | -105.6 | 0 |
Premier League ELO Progression 2026-2027
Premier League Power Rankings Analysis 2026-2027
Power Rankings Overview
Man City have set the pace, winning all five matches and leading both rating systems. ELO and Glicko-2 agree on the top three: Man City, Arsenal and Brighton, in that order. Brighton’s 16 goals make them the most explosive side in the leading group, while Man City’s perfect record gives them the strongest case as the early standard-setter.
The Agreed Elite
Man City’s 1597 ELO and 1848 Glicko-2 ratings stand clear of the field, backed by 13 goals scored and only five conceded. Arsenal have the best defensive record among the top three, allowing four goals, while Brighton combine a league-high 16 goals with only five conceded. The models agree on their strength, though Brighton’s attack is the standout feature and Arsenal’s defence is their clearest calling card.
Where the Models Disagree
Nott'm Forest show the sharpest split, with a Diff of plus four and a Glicko-2 rating of 1315 against ELO’s 1462. Their Glicko-2 RD of 190 is high, and that much lower placement suggests their underlying strength is hard to pin down after a mixed start of one win, two draws and two losses. Bournemouth move the other way, with a Diff of minus three, meaning Glicko-2 ranks them higher than ELO does, despite a 1400 Glicko-2 rating and an ELO of 1459. Their three draws and two defeats offer no clear sign of a surge, so the rankings differ without a matching positive form signal.
Form Watch
Coventry lead the gains column, up 36.7 ELO points and 160.7 Glicko-2 points, a striking lift despite four defeats in five. Brighton are also surging, with gains of 28.3 and 123.5, and their 16 goals help explain the jump. Nott'm Forest are sliding hardest, down 36.7 ELO points and 139.0 Glicko-2 points, while Arsenal’s Glicko-2 rating has fallen 127.0.
Relegation Watch
Fulham and Tottenham sit on two points, and both systems put them at the foot of the ratings as well as the table. Coventry and Bournemouth have three points, but their rating signals differ: Coventry’s sharp recent gains are encouraging, while Bournemouth’s higher Glicko-2 rank than ELO offers a more favourable assessment than their winless record. Fulham and Tottenham have the clearest trouble to address, with just two goals scored by Tottenham and Glicko-2 ratings of 1247 and 1229 respectively.
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