La Liga 2025-2026: Girona vs Valencia Prediction
Girona
Home Team
35%
VS
Valencia
Away Team
41%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Elche | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Betis | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Espanol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Getafe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Alaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Valencia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Oviedo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Celta | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Girona
- Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 2)
Valencia
- Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 6)
- 5th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Girona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.58
# Clean Sheets:
1
Valencia
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.57
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Girona and Valencia is expected to be a tightly contested affair, with Valencia slightly favored to win with a 41.0% probability. Girona, currently languishing at the bottom of the league table, has a 35.0% chance of securing a home victory. The match is predicted to have less than 2.5 goals, suggesting a low-scoring encounter. Valencia stands 12th in the La Liga standings, while Girona is in 20th place, battling to avoid relegation.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown mixed performances in their recent outings. Girona has struggled to find the back of the net, having scored just once in their last three matches. They drew against Espanol and Ath Bilbao but suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat at home to Levante. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game over their last five matches. On the attacking front, Girona's expected goals (xG) figure of 1.0775 indicates they create chances but fail to convert them effectively.
Valencia, on the other hand, has experienced a similarly challenging run. They managed to secure a win against Ath Bilbao and draw with Espanol, but a defeat to Oviedo highlights their inconsistency. Despite their struggles, Valencia boasts a slightly better goal-scoring record with an average of 0.67 goals per game. Their two clean sheets in the last five outings show they can be defensively resolute, yet they are conceding an average of three goals per game, which is a worrying sign.
Final Prediction
Valencia's edge over Girona can be attributed to their marginally better recent form and the ability to secure clean sheets. Girona's inability to capitalize on their chances might prove costly against a team like Valencia, which has shown they can defend well. Watch out for Valencia's defensive strategy, as their ability to shut down Girona's attacks could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game.