La Liga 2025-2026: Sociedad vs Vallecano Prediction
Sociedad
Home Team
39%
VS
Vallecano
Away Team
34%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Elche | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Betis | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Espanol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Getafe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Alaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Valencia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Oviedo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Celta | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Sociedad
- Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 1)
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sociedad
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.68
# Clean Sheets:
1
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.21
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Sociedad and Vallecano promises to be a tightly contested affair, with Sociedad slightly favored to clinch victory with a 39.0% probability. Vallecano is not far behind, holding a 34.0% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 27.0%. Both teams are languishing at the lower end of the standings, with Sociedad sitting at 18th and Vallecano at 16th. The game is expected to be lively, with a 56.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.
Match Analysis
Sociedad's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of results coming from their last three matches. They achieved a narrow victory against Mallorca at home but succumbed to defeats against Barcelona and Betis away. Sociedad has been scoring an average of 1.33 goals per game while conceding the same amount, indicating a balanced but precarious offense and defense. Their expected goals metric suggests they are creating opportunities, averaging 2.47 expected goals per game, which points to potential underperformance in front of the goal.
Vallecano, on the other hand, has struggled to find their form, with a loss to Sevilla at home and a close defeat against Ath Madrid away, followed by a draw with Celta. They have scored an average of 1.25 goals per game while conceding 1.75, reflecting a more vulnerable defensive line. Vallecano's expected goals conceded at 2.21 per match further highlight their defensive frailties, which Sociedad might look to exploit.
Final Prediction
Sociedad's slight edge in predicted probability stems from their ability to create more scoring opportunities, as evidenced by their higher expected goals. Vallecano's defensive vulnerabilities make them susceptible, especially against a Sociedad side capable of capitalizing on chances. A key factor to watch will be Sociedad's offensive execution, which could determine if they can convert their chances into a much-needed victory.