Ligue 1 2025-2026: Le Havre vs Rennes Prediction - 5 Oct 2025
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Le Havre
Home Team
45%
VS
Rennes
Away Team
30%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Le Havre
- Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 0 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Le Havre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.09
# Clean Sheets:
1
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.57
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Le Havre and Rennes is poised to be a closely contested affair. Le Havre is tipped to emerge victorious with a 45.0% probability, while Rennes holds a 30.0% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw stands at 25.0%. Currently, Le Havre sits in 15th position in Ligue 1, whereas Rennes is in the 8th spot. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a 49.0% probability of under 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Le Havre has been navigating a challenging phase, with two draws and a loss in their last three outings. Their recent stalemates against Metz and Lorient showcased their resilience, but scoring remains an area for improvement. Despite these struggles, Le Havre's advanced metrics paint a promising picture, with an impressive average of 2.01 expected goals scored in their last five games, suggesting potential for offensive breakthroughs.
On the other hand, Rennes has shown mixed form, drawing twice against Lens and Nantes, before securing an impressive victory over Lyon. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their ability to score, exemplified by a 3-1 triumph over Lyon, indicates they can capitalize on their chances when presented.
Final Prediction
Le Havre's predicted edge arises from their stronger expected goals metric, suggesting they can create and potentially convert scoring opportunities. A key factor to watch during the game will be Le Havre's ability to translate their attacking potential into actual goals, especially against a Rennes side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities in recent matches.
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