Serie A 2025-2026: Atalanta vs Cremonese Prediction - 9 Feb 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Atalanta

Home Team
95%
VS

Cremonese

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 23 18 1 4 52 19 33 55
2 Milan 23 14 8 1 38 17 21 50
3 Napoli 23 14 4 5 33 21 12 46
4 Juventus 23 13 6 4 39 18 21 45
5 Roma 23 14 1 8 27 14 13 43
6 Como 23 11 8 4 37 16 21 41
7 Atalanta 23 9 9 5 30 20 10 36
8 Lazio 23 8 8 7 24 21 3 32
9 Udinese 23 9 5 9 26 34 -8 32
10 Bologna 23 8 6 9 32 30 2 30
11 Sassuolo 23 8 5 10 27 29 -2 29
12 Cagliari 23 7 7 9 28 31 -3 28
13 Torino 23 7 5 11 22 40 -18 26
14 Genoa 23 5 8 10 27 34 -7 23
15 Cremonese 23 5 8 10 20 31 -11 23
16 Parma 23 5 8 10 15 30 -15 23
17 Lecce 23 4 6 13 13 30 -17 18
18 Fiorentina 23 3 8 12 25 36 -11 17
19 Pisa 23 1 11 11 19 40 -21 14
20 Verona 23 2 8 13 18 41 -23 14

Recent Trends

Atalanta D W D W W

  • Last Match: D vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Parma (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 0)

Cremonese L L D L D

  • Last Match: L vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.21
# Clean Sheets: 4

Cremonese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.84
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Atalanta are strong favourites at home, with a 95.0% probability of winning against a Cremonese side sitting 15th, while the hosts come into this game in 7th and pushing for European places. The match is expected to be relatively open, with a 56.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams are also given a 52.0% chance of scoring at least once.

Match Analysis

Atalanta’s recent form has been steady rather than spectacular, but very solid defensively: a 0-0 away at Como, a convincing 4-0 home win over Parma, and a 1-1 draw at Pisa. Across their last five games they average 1.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded, with four clean sheets in that span, underlining how hard they are to break down. Their attacking numbers are even more impressive beneath the surface, with an average of 2.914 expected goals created per match. Cremonese, by contrast, arrive in Bergamo on a poor run. They’ve lost to Inter (0-2) and Sassuolo (0-1) and drawn 0-0 with relegation rival Verona, failing to score in all three. Over their last five games they average 0.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, with just one clean sheet. The underlying stats confirm the struggle: only 0.824 expected goals created per game and 1.84 expected goals allowed, suggesting they concede chances while posing limited threat up front.

Final Prediction

Atalanta’s combination of strong defensive form, high chance creation and home advantage gives them a clear edge over a goal-shy Cremonese side under pressure near the bottom. The key factor to watch will be whether Cremonese can withstand Atalanta’s sustained attacking volume, or if an early goal opens the door to the expected high-scoring home win.

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel