Serie A 2025-2026: Sassuolo vs Inter Prediction - 8 Feb 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Sassuolo

Home Team
1%
VS

Inter

Away Team
97%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 23 18 1 4 52 19 33 55
2 Milan 23 14 8 1 38 17 21 50
3 Napoli 23 14 4 5 33 21 12 46
4 Juventus 23 13 6 4 39 18 21 45
5 Roma 23 14 1 8 27 14 13 43
6 Como 23 11 8 4 37 16 21 41
7 Atalanta 23 9 9 5 30 20 10 36
8 Lazio 23 8 8 7 24 21 3 32
9 Udinese 23 9 5 9 26 34 -8 32
10 Bologna 23 8 6 9 32 30 2 30
11 Sassuolo 23 8 5 10 27 29 -2 29
12 Cagliari 23 7 7 9 28 31 -3 28
13 Torino 23 7 5 11 22 40 -18 26
14 Genoa 23 5 8 10 27 34 -7 23
15 Cremonese 23 5 8 10 20 31 -11 23
16 Parma 23 5 8 10 15 30 -15 23
17 Lecce 23 4 6 13 13 30 -17 18
18 Fiorentina 23 3 8 12 25 36 -11 17
19 Pisa 23 1 11 11 19 40 -21 14
20 Verona 23 2 8 13 18 41 -23 14

Recent Trends

Sassuolo W W L L L

  • Last Match: W vs Pisa (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 3)

Inter W W W W D

  • Last Match: W vs Cremonese (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Pisa (Goals: 6 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sassuolo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.63
# Clean Sheets: 1

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.59
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Inter are clear favourites here, with a huge 97.0% probability of taking all three points away at Sassuolo, who sit 11th while Inter lead Serie A in 1st place. Goals are expected: there’s a 52.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54.0% probability that both sides get on the scoresheet, pointing towards an open game despite the gap in quality.

Match Analysis

Sassuolo come into this with some renewed confidence after back-to-back wins over Cremonese (1–0 at home) and Pisa (3–1 away), before a narrow 1–0 defeat at Napoli. However, their underlying numbers remain modest: in the last five matches they’ve averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded, with expected goals for at just 0.962 and expected goals against at a worrying 1.63. Only one clean sheet in that run underlines how often they allow chances. Inter’s form looks like that of a title contender. They’ve won their last three games – 2–0 at Cremonese, 6–2 against Pisa, and 1–0 at Udinese – combining ruthless attacking with strong defensive control. Over their last five matches they average 1.6 goals scored but, crucially, concede just 0.2 per game, backed up by 2.222 expected goals created and only 0.594 expected goals allowed. Three clean sheets in that spell show how hard they are to break down.

Final Prediction

Inter’s edge comes from their balance: a free-flowing attack backed by one of the stingiest defences in the league, reflected in both their results and advanced stats. Sassuolo’s recent mini-revival suggests they can threaten, but their defensive fragility could be exposed. A key factor to watch will be whether Sassuolo can convert the few chances they create against Inter’s disciplined back line.

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