Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Alex de Minaur (rank 6) arrives with a slightly higher Elo (4080.22) but greater cumulative fatigue (417 minutes) than Felix (rank 8, Elo 4062.18, fatigue 340 minutes). De Minaur’s form index sits at 71.57 versus Felix’s 75.52, while both have modest surface strength indices on hard courts (26.43 for De Minaur, 28.85 for Auger-Aliassime). There is a substantial gap in serving and returning: Felix’s mean serve index (98.40) greatly exceeds De Minaur’s (55.46), and his mean return index (87.23) is also much higher than De Minaur’s (35.32), factors likely to shape each set. Over the last three rounds at Rotterdam both players have been consistent winners. De Minaur recorded three straight wins, including a longer 164-minute match against Botic van de Zandschulp and a 92-minute victory over Ugo Humbert, which contributes to his higher minutes-on-court total. Felix has also won three matches without dropping a set in this event, with noticeably shorter recent match durations (54, 104, 90 minutes), suggesting fresher legs entering the final.