Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruud: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Jaume Munar

Rank: #38
32%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #13
68%
Expected Total Games: 38.7
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Ranking Trends

Jaume Munar

  • Current Rank: #38 (2026-01-12)
  • 3 Months Ago: #42 (2025-10-20)
  • 6 Months Ago: #50 (2025-07-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #53 (2025-04-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #62 (2025-01-13)

Casper Ruud

  • Current Rank: #13 (2026-01-12)
  • 3 Months Ago: #11 (2025-10-20)
  • 6 Months Ago: #12 (2025-07-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #15 (2025-04-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #6 (2025-01-13)

Player Metrics

Jaume Munar

Form Index: 68.9
ELO Rating: 1357.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 68.4
Return Rating: 57.4

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 55.5
ELO Rating: 2644.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1916.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.8
Clay: 22.1
Grass: 23.9
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 90.8

Recent Matches

Jaume Munar
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Dalibor Svrcina (3-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Machac (0-2) hard Adelaide 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-1) hard Adelaide 148 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Adelaide 64 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Paris 70 min

Casper Ruud
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) hard Auckland 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Altmaier (0-2) hard Paris 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-1) hard Basel 57 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Stan Wawrinka (2-0) hard Basel 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jaume Munar
vs
3
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 2
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Australian Open, Jaume Munar faces off against Casper Ruud on hard courts in Australia. With Ruud's higher ranking and strong performance metrics, he is predicted to win with a probability of 68.30%, while Munar's chances sit at 31.70%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 38.7 games.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud, currently ranked 13th, showcases a superior Elo rating of 2644.40 compared to Jaume Munar's 1357.80, highlighting a significant gap in experience and performance levels. Ruud's form index of 55.46 is lower than Munar's 68.86, reflecting Munar's recent improvements, particularly after a hard-fought win against Dalibor Svrcina. Fatigue levels for both players are equal at 174 minutes on court, which may play a role in their endurance. However, Ruud's surface strength index of 15.84 also surpasses Munar's 11.78, indicating better adaptability to hard court conditions. The disparity in serving capabilities is noteworthy as Ruud boasts a mean serve index of 97.61, well above Munar's 68.37. This difference of nearly 29 points could significantly impact the match dynamics, especially considering Ruud's stronger mean return index of 90.80 versus Munar's 57.37, further solidifying his advantage in both serving and returning aspects of the game. Recent performances show Munar's inconsistency, with a loss against Tomas Machac in his last match, whereas Ruud displayed dominance with a straight-sets victory over Mattia Bellucci.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 38.7 Most likely outcome: 38 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The match is expected to see about 15.35 aces, which aligns with the hard court surface that balances both powerful servers and adept returners. With Ruud's significantly higher mean serve index, he is likely to contribute a greater portion of the predicted aces, while both players might average around 3.91 double faults, a number influenced by the competitive nature of the match and the hard court conditions.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 15.3 Most likely: 15 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 3.9 Most likely: 3 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Ruud's considerable advantages in both serving and returning metrics, combined with his higher ranking and recent form, position him as the clear favorite in this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be how effectively Munar can counter Ruud's powerful serve and keep the rallies competitive.

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